NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afc1778ee583775cf4b05499ce4cc34b4b4a3a7d7e351941a4c90c8e330014f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $831,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $938,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $831,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 684 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Bengals | 39c | 53,553$20,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,885.7 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Ravens | 61c | 44,916$27,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,543.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ravens | 62c | 40,186$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,185.62 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Ravens | 60c | 38,892$23,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.83 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Bengals | 39c | 38,242$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Ravens | 61c | 36,204$22,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,119.75 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Bengals | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Ravens | 61c | 27,422$16,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,694.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Bengals | 39c | 26,799$10,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,451.59 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bengals | 34c | 26,245$8,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,906.31 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ravens | 60c | 26,080$15,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,432.11 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Ravens | 76c | 23,634$17,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ravens | 62c | 22,980$14,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,693.43 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bengals | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Bengals | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bengals | 38c | 18,009$6,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,834.33 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ravens | 61c | 16,879$10,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.45 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bengals | 40c | 16,380$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,507.51 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…194dbacked Bengals | 39c | 16,257$6,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,340.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bengals | 37c | 14,299$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bengals | 28c | 13,400$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Ravens | 60c | 13,147$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.71 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals | 38c | 12,500$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Bengals | 8c | 12,500$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Bengals | 38c | 11,448$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.24 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Ravens | 70c | 10,997$7,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.87 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bengals | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ravens | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bengals | 31c | 8,728$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.46 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Bengals | 37c | 8,492$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Ravens | 58c | 8,484$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Ravens | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bengals | 40c | 7,694$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.71 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Ravens | 50c | 7,250$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ravens | 69c | 7,062$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.26 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bengals | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ravens | 65c | 5,935$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.3 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bengals | 9c | 5,627$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.46 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ravens | 61c | 5,605$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.95 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ravens | 50c | 5,459$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.03 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ravens | 62c | 5,202$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.45 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Bengals | 22c | 5,170$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bengals | 39c | 5,055$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.57 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Ravens | 52c | 5,004$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.83 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Bengals | 42c | 4,893$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.09 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Bengals | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ravens | 58c | 4,589$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.25 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals | 35c | 4,584$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.74 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bengals | 2c | 4,513$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Bengals | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ravens | 74c | 4,411$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.65 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bengals | 15c | 4,396$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.38 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bengals | 30c | 4,275$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.59 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ravens | 59c | 3,900$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Ravens | 62c | 3,248$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.24 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Ravens | 62c | 3,224$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Ravens | 62c | 3,187$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.98 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ravens | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Bengals | 42c | 3,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Ravens | 58c | 3,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bengals | 13c | 2,956$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.29 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Ravens | 59c | 2,720$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.34 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ravens | 54c | 2,601$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.2 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ravens | 58c | 2,515$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.72 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bengals | 39c | 2,508$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.12 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Bengals | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Bengals | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Bengals | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Ravens | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Ravens | 59c | 2,400$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bengals | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.98 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bengals | 4c | 2,273$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bengals | 42c | 2,209$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.95 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Bengals | 39c | 2,179$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Ravens | 60c | 2,109$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.73 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bengals | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Ravens | 53c | 1,901$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bengals | 38c | 1,886$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.21 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Ravens | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bengals | 1c | 1,665$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bengals | 16c | 1,574$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Ravens | 72c | 1,537$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.29 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Bengals | 39c | 1,528$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…fb23backed Ravens | 56c | 1,524$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Bengals | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Bengals | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.97 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Bengals | 52c | 1,483$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.49 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…1bc4backed Bengals | 44c | 1,460$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Bengals | 17c | 1,450$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Bengals | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Bengals | 39c | 1,269$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed Bengals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Bengals | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…49d0backed Bengals | 44c | 1,229$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Bengals | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bengals | 2c | 1,203$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…3f52backed Bengals | 44c | 1,202$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Bengals | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ravens | 59c | 1,194$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.67 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…e073backed Ravens | 56c | 1,187$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ravens vs. Bengalsthis page
- Rashod Bateman: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Bengals: 1H MoneylineRavens won
- Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5Under won
- Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Ravens won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Ravens won
- Tee Higgins: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.