TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jodarof Tien, Jodar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Jodar14c48,647$6,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,061.8711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Jodar21c24,605$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,435.4180938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Jodar25c17,136$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,919.226747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jodar12c9,678$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,536.448,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Jodar18c7,293$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,961.6657939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Tien79c7,138$5,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.527063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Jodar14c6,546$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.521136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Jodar34c6,332$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.819645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Jodar11c5,711$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.1839851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc491…61f7backed Jodar22c5,400$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,212475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+146%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Tien66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Tien80c4,366$3,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Tien79c4,240$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d5…1210backed Jodar22c4,100$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Tien76c3,832$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.481855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5571…4015backed Tien78c3,784$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jodar33c3,383$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.61,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Tien80c3,276$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.786235.5%22 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x621c…1192backed Jodar20c3,114$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.811747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+89.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jodar22c3,008$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.624448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75d6…c56fbacked Tien76c2,900$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Tien5c2,840$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.761368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d7c…832dbacked Jodar22c2,700$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Jodar10c2,442$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+388.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc7…0456backed Jodar22c2,400$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Tien3c2,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jodar26c1,964$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.2755143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jodar14c1,956$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.292,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Tien6c1,933$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.998313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Tien75c1,879$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.739264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Tien78c1,836$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.471,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Tien3c1,800$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jodar16c1,720$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.732,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6794…c10dbacked Jodar14c1,703$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.68520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Tien79c1,639$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.9914546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x685f…c82fbacked Tien78c1,600$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0845…e9ebbacked Tien78c1,600$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb6…3804backed Tien78c1,600$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jodar20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Tien65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9752729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Tien73c1,434$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jodar24c1,430$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.392,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f86…4b75backed Tien78c1,400$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3818…7713backed Tien78c1,400$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Jodar25c1,395$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.883246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Tien73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jodar23c1,365$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.5873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Jodar11c1,302$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.06540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+121.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Tien77c1,301$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9997…97b5backed Tien78c1,300$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e7…c5c9backed Tien78c1,300$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Jodar9c1,209$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+108.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df4…8ca6backed Tien78c1,200$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6865…b323backed Tien78c1,100$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x830b…acc2backed Tien78c1,100$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20f5…9495backed Tien69c1,100$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Jodar11c1,086$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.1524634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0e…995cbacked Tien78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Tien75c999.99$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9914663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa707…03c1backed Jodar25c975$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Jodar26c762.82$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.4927733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x652f…e2afbacked Tien79c636.28$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002560%15 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb73b…7155backed Jodar21c619.05$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.056100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tien79c611.1$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jodar15c605.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.436,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Tien67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Tien76c586.84$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4462774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5080…a4d3backed Tien75c580$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Jodar29c572$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225f…5ec6backed Tien77c550.43$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.241770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Tien79c535$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Jodar21c516.26$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.38645.3%39 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Tien77c511$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.325257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Jodar12c500$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.0158021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Tien80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jodar22c499.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.9927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Tien71c489.87$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Tien77c486.94$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37530741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Jodar19c473.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6863247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Jodar14c469.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1918250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jodar26c469.49$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8054…150cbacked Jodar15c467.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+121.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Tien44c438.73$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19228833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Tien77c427.27$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Jodar13c405$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+285.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Tien75c400.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe64e…124ebacked Tien77c398.82$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jodar17c398.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0661…d210backed Tien75c395$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jodar22c394.84$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.4534842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc088…0809backed Jodar17c377.71$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+139.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3386backed Tien53c360.93$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.551540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jodar21c359.05$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.331,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Jodar29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.839462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jodar30c335.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.241,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Jodar30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6489…71ebbacked Jodar21c317.84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+107.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Jodar17c300$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24849632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Jodar24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…d1abbacked Tien75c299.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.99520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-74.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.