NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69eb2c6ded60754282f2c4fadfa2100cd5d6cc4871d06966ae1c462d42792c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Rockets, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,302,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,339,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,302,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Rockets | 53c | 982,306$525,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525,000 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 47c | 500,000$233,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nuggets | 46c | 249,374$115,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,803 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 49c | 164,483$80,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,491.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 125,039$63,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,318.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Nuggets | 49c | 81,235$39,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,742.19 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Rockets | 51c | 69,167$35,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,274.96 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Rockets | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,799.99 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 49c | 58,837$29,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,039.24 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 58c | 58,313$33,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,530.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 53c | 50,201$26,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,792.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Rockets | 52c | 48,206$25,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,067.12 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 49c | 48,200$23,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,781.97 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Nuggets | 50c | 32,878$16,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,603.46 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 52c | 31,630$16,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,331.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 49c | 28,752$14,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,138.25 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 52c | 28,004$14,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,542.13 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets | 51c | 26,089$13,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,828.31 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Rockets | 26c | 25,898$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 48c | 25,555$12,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,244.09 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 23,961$12,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,796.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 48c | 23,282$11,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,182.81 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 21,786$11,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,675.27 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 59c | 20,826$12,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,541.16 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…43fbbacked Rockets | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 38c | 19,647$7,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,198.51 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Rockets | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83e…0206backed Rockets | 50c | 18,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Nuggets | 48c | 17,055$8,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,868.6 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 16,837$8,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,491.15 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Rockets | 31c | 16,462$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.52 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Nuggets | 51c | 16,222$8,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,948.78 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Nuggets | 50c | 16,200$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,162 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Nuggets | 51c | 15,539$7,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.04 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…6a7bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 15,476$8,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,428.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Nuggets | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Nuggets | 60c | 13,730$8,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.03 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 13,199$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb6…7bddbacked Rockets | 35c | 13,078$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 67c | 12,374$8,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.52 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Rockets | 49c | 12,259$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rockets | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Rockets | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Nuggets | 51c | 11,689$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,727.78 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Nuggets | 63c | 11,527$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.28 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Rockets | 48c | 11,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.93 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,774$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,572$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.15 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Nuggets | 56c | 10,085$5,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.98 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rockets | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 61c | 8,745$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 35c | 8,715$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.68 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 48c | 8,653$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 45c | 8,124$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.65 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Rockets | 50c | 8,001$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.61 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Nuggets | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Rockets | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d2…b252backed Nuggets | 51c | 7,273$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…0b35backed Rockets | 49c | 7,260$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,978$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.1 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Rockets | 37c | 6,970$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.11 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 50c | 6,719$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.31 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 27c | 6,584$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 6,468$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.41 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,391$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.52 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Rockets | 48c | 6,250$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.74 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bf…f4b4backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.97 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 15c | 5,942$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.27 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Rockets | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rockets | 48c | 5,666$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.13 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 47c | 5,573$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.53 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Rockets | 44c | 5,379$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.26 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rockets | 54c | 5,352$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.08 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Rockets | 52c | 5,244$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…456ebacked Rockets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Rockets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,985$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.04 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,932$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 43c | 4,904$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.11 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Nuggets | 76c | 4,824$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.19 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,728$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.59 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Nuggets | 70c | 4,586$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.82 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rockets | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Rockets | 44c | 4,496$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.47 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 46c | 4,372$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.76 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Rockets | 58c | 4,222$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.92 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Rockets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…26d0backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Rockets | 49c | 4,000$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.94 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Rockets | 10c | 3,901$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Nuggets | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.15 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockets | 32c | 3,721$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.01 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Rockets | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,300$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.