NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2c6c0a284c60f13774dd6bf9952827be0534151f2992626c13a568fb947ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 54c | 7,617$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.35 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 4,237$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 45c | 3,600$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 57c | 2,051$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.92 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,268$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.15 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 46c | 862.39$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.7 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Under | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 593$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 57c | 512$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 330.16$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 44c | 189$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…ee21backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 46c | 110.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Under | 54c | 102.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 44c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 55c | 85.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 45c | 74.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…b85cbacked Under | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 56c | 70.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 67.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…3d58backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed Under | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…0b88backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5this page
- Rockets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.