NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a1739f50eeabfe8e8da9558ca33281777eec0e270f33aa52d529cdb2dca536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe818…4bb3backed Under | 51c | 29,915$15,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,129.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd39…1b8abacked Over | 51c | 9,412$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 4,924$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 4,836$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 61c | 4,087$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 2c | 4,059$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,986$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,507$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 953.38$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.09 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 854$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.26 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 846$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 803$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.53 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 53c | 572.85$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 571$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.21 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 531.19$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.24 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 440.57$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.71 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Over | 12c | 356.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.24 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 7cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 324.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Over | 16c | 300$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…05f6backed Under | 51c | 241.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 48c | 206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 149.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 144.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 53c | 127.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 49c | 111.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 48c | 93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 49c | 86.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 30c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 77.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 51c | 76.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 53c | 75.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 48c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 51c | 59.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Over | 53c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5this page
- Rockets vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.