NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8d77235dd257a99f2ca846312f49a53776f707354411bd21d567ab1170a8f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,205,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,330,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,205,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Nuggets | 31c | 188,296$58,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,110.02 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Nuggets | 31c | 180,000$56,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,599.86 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Raptors | 69c | 150,000$103,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,000 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Raptors | 68c | 69,996$47,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,673.33 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 70c | 59,159$41,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,411.56 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Nuggets | 51c | 49,504$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,504.02 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Raptors | 53c | 47,178$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raptors | 51c | 44,222$22,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,566.3 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,199.98 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 30c | 39,254$11,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,558.06 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Raptors | 70c | 39,118$27,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,276.2 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 57c | 36,011$20,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,510.46 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Nuggets | 31c | 34,800$10,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,059.95 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Nuggets | 28c | 31,614$8,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,645.9 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 41c | 31,321$12,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,602.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 45c | 30,942$13,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,141.15 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Nuggets | 47c | 30,723$14,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,225.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Raptors | 69c | 27,000$18,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,662.42 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 59c | 25,585$15,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,110.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 53c | 25,371$13,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,534.59 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 69c | 22,381$15,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,483.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Nuggets | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.99 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Nuggets | 45c | 17,966$8,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.29 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Raptors | 69c | 17,535$12,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,099 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 32c | 16,757$5,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,394.93 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 59c | 16,735$9,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,819.31 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 68c | 16,179$11,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,002 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 57c | 15,432$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Nuggets | 41c | 15,341$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,110.09 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked Nuggets | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Raptors | 57c | 14,587$8,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,328.31 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Nuggets | 31c | 14,516$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,016.13 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 52c | 12,666$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,128.75 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Raptors | 68c | 12,590$8,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,561.17 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Raptors | 1c | 12,177$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Raptors | 52c | 11,195$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Raptors | 71c | 10,387$7,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,373.77 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…1fefbacked Nuggets | 77c | 10,271$7,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 44c | 10,030$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.68 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Nuggets | 32c | 10,010$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,806.79 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Raptors | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Nuggets | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.1 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 69c | 9,003$6,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212.07 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nuggets | 47c | 8,420$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.19 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Raptors | 60c | 8,109$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Raptors | 48c | 8,003$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.1 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Raptors | 70c | 7,992$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.61 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Nuggets | 30c | 7,939$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.41 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Nuggets | 30c | 7,759$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457.5 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets | 45c | 7,710$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.94 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 40c | 7,707$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.54 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Nuggets | 33c | 7,650$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.65 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3b…10eebacked Raptors | 70c | 7,542$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Nuggets | 28c | 7,200$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.99 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Nuggets | 58c | 7,182$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.3 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Raptors | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Raptors | 72c | 6,948$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Raptors | 71c | 6,901$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.71 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Nuggets | 30c | 6,808$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.51 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 70c | 6,587$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Nuggets | 64c | 6,515$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.73 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 68c | 6,221$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.95 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Raptors | 70c | 6,000$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3579backed Nuggets | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 60c | 5,719$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.87 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…a84abacked Nuggets | 60c | 5,565$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 5,551$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.33 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…8e3ebacked Nuggets | 29c | 5,502$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors | 2c | 5,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…67c6backed Raptors | 56c | 5,009$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 70c | 5,002$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raptors | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Raptors | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 68c | 4,999$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.06 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Raptors | 71c | 4,943$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.76 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Nuggets | 74c | 4,901$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.73 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,883$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.36 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,855$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.09 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Raptors | 68c | 4,650$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Raptors | 6c | 4,642$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Raptors | 71c | 4,544$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.79 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Nuggets | 68c | 4,456$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 70c | 4,396$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.34 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Nuggets | 32c | 4,262$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,064$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Raptors | 26c | 3,995$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 70c | 3,984$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Raptors | 65c | 3,946$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.21 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Raptors | 46c | 3,858$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.3 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Raptors | 19c | 3,731$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.64 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,661$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Nuggets | 28c | 3,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.08 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,498$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.26 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 57c | 3,419$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.08 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,300$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,237$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.87 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 70c | 3,224$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.17 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,130$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.17 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Raptors | 69c | 3,092$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.73 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Raptorsthis page
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.