TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over2c15,559$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7639018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over2c8,800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over50c7,129$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.636351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over50c6,060$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0305152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over50c3,928$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96424847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c3,121$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.941,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c2,833$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.692,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over50c2,626$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3137245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c2,580$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Over51c2,136$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0903148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over50c1,620$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81025452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c1,586$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c1,572$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.672,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over3c1,510$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.18512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over6c1,400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c1,373$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.5592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Over50c1,142$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57113041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under43c1,104$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.151,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Under41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over50c969.88$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over6c910$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.086322.2%14 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over11c808$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3231144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over50c727$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over50c727$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over46c497.1$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.153,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed Over11c477.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.567230.6%22 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under42c475.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over13c448.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.82,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c445.54$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.772,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over9c415.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.661,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over41c355.2$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6767921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270437%3 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over63c252$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.762,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Over7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813228.8%38 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over5c245.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.781,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Under42c202.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3833246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under41c190.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.824,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Under9c189.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.338511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under36c174.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.883,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b2…7025backed Over43c165.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8611136%40 W · 71 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c152.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under54c143$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.782,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Under15c112.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.369515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e6…23e4backed Over55c104.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6950%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under36c76.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under42c75.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.551,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under37c73.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.121056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over50c68.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.372,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under39c68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.486349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked Over62c67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.543268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.28052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Over65c50.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0340133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under39c49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.895455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Under40c47.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.48336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over55c47.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2650948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed Over54c46.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.314050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under39c46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.066454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Under38c45.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.383551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under44c44.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over40c43.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.663745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over58c34.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Under36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3323438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Under37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4334246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over52c32.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6437949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.787950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa14…f533backed Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.64753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe16…d466backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Over62c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.983554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Over61c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.473658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Over68c26.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.045339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.538148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Over62c22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.643447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Over61c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.982944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over61c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.983450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.