NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6784e9db7f0e57f1d7709bb15a207e17b44f916821e68f159a043e960342c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Raptors, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,753,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,752,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,753,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Raptors | 53c | 1,070,581$567,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567,369.87 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 47c | 600,000$282,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 48c | 536,825$260,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276,606.16 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 51c | 319,614$163,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,108.23 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 51c | 142,034$71,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,816.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 48c | 121,811$58,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,784.61 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 47c | 120,000$56,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Nuggets | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Nuggets | 47c | 37,500$17,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,875 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 50c | 34,831$17,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,415.29 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 22,628$10,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,841.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Raptors | 51c | 19,500$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 51c | 18,501$9,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,434.17 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 48c | 12,206$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 47c | 12,092$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Nuggets | 50c | 11,400$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Raptors | 51c | 10,756$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 10,212$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.36 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Raptors | 53c | 6,794$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,980$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.8 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8775…a018backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,524$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,439$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.52 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,286$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Raptors | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors | 51c | 3,900$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Raptors | 51c | 3,222$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.22 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Raptors | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 50c | 2,591$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,482$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.87 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,464$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 5c | 2,451$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Raptors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,910$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.3 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 38c | 1,860$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,634$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,630$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.95 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,592$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.17 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,319$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.32 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,090$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.59 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 2c | 1,080$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,000$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Raptors | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Raptors | 53c | 999.97$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.48 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Raptors | 51c | 979.4$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 860.92$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 46c | 766.01$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Nuggets | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Raptors | 5c | 609.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 48c | 553.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.08 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Nuggets | 48c | 510.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.84 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 508.44$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Raptors | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Raptors | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Raptors | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Raptors | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Nuggets | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Raptors | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Nuggets | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…753bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 280$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…78cbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 231.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Raptors | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 50c | 177$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Raptors | 51c | 176.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Nuggets | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Raptors | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Raptors | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nuggets | 49c | 140.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 32c | 140.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 49c | 139.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Nuggets | 49c | 139.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Raptors | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 51c | 127.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Raptors | 11c | 127.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…540abacked Nuggets | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nuggets | 50c | 101.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Raptors | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Raptors | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Raptors | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Nuggets | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)this page
- Nuggets vs. RaptorsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.