NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc066347f2f4154881de212e79954cd85560e19544dded4cedaccb3a58a0de52d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 60c | 38,857$23,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,314.85 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 60c | 21,485$12,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,970.75 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Stars | 59c | 20,708$12,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,180.49 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sabres | 42c | 12,994$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,596.4 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Sabres | 40c | 12,708$5,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.64 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Stars | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,249.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sabres | 41c | 10,160$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,994.67 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 31c | 8,474$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.44 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Sabres | 41c | 8,345$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.84 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 39c | 7,702$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.18 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 63c | 6,935$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.98 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 38c | 6,421$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.65 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Sabres | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.56 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Sabres | 39c | 6,019$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.56 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 61c | 5,282$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.95 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Stars | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres | 48c | 4,560$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.44 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 40c | 4,532$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.51 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Stars | 73c | 4,354$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.85 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 58c | 4,095$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.06 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 52c | 3,833$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.33 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Sabres | 42c | 3,413$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.54 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sabres | 41c | 3,178$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.75 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sabres | 38c | 2,667$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.12 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Sabres | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 36c | 1,747$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.72 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 42c | 1,717$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…bf18backed Sabres | 40c | 1,630$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Stars | 60c | 1,628$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 29c | 1,503$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.62 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sabres | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sabres | 40c | 1,497$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.49 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 36c | 1,337$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.36 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 40c | 1,279$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.96 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Stars | 58c | 1,135$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.57 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 42c | 1,062$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.96 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…9fb3backed Stars | 66c | 999.58$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.36 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 37c | 936$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sabres | 41c | 920$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.8 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 60c | 900$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sabres | 40c | 895$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Stars | 36c | 756$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.65 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Stars | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Stars | 31c | 684.72$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked Sabres | 45c | 673.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Stars | 63c | 531.87$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.76 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Sabres | 61c | 501.22$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 59c | 500.01$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Stars | 59c | 471.27$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.05 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 25c | 443.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Stars | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 60c | 392$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Stars | 59c | 389.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 73c | 387.83$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sabres | 42c | 364.51$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Stars | 30c | 357.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Sabres | 68c | 355$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Sabres | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…83e0backed Stars | 59c | 338.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Stars | 63c | 317.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Stars | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 59c | 304.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Sabres | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Stars | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Stars | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Stars | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Stars | 61c | 299.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 47c | 290.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Stars | 29c | 274.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stars | 23c | 264.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Stars | 59c | 262.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Stars | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Stars | 32c | 250.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Sabres | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Sabres | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Sabres | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sabres | 34c | 223.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Sabres | 29c | 220.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 73c | 219.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Stars | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Sabres | 40c | 201.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Stars | 60c | 200.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Stars | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Stars | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Sabres | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Sabres | 36c | 200$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 50c | 182.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Stars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Stars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Sabres | 35c | 166.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 56c | 163.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stars | 30c | 157.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Stars | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Sabres | 24c | 151.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Starsthis page
- Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.