TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Cavaliers, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,790,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,890,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,790,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 978 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Cavaliers65c212,767$137,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,819.057745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Bulls35c207,546$72,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,980.584456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers43c80,000$34,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,595.6738248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Bulls36c55,556$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,555.569641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Bulls69c50,512$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,511.537745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers64c40,000$25,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,6001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls36c37,725$13,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,218.722,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Cavaliers4c36,335$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.7713442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls79c33,423$26,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,909.091,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Bulls36c32,720$11,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,940.821450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Cavaliers65c32,720$21,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,26817861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Bulls74c30,839$22,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,953.7915274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Bulls36c27,786$10,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,783.1121944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bulls33c26,720$8,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,868.582,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls63c26,057$16,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,604.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Bulls35c25,657$8,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,747.1727424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Cavaliers66c25,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,50012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Cavaliers65c24,296$15,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,792.28961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls47c21,090$9,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,177.6559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Cavaliers18c21,079$3,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.179640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Bulls35c20,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,00014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls69c18,782$12,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,814.531,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls48c18,276$8,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,566.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers24c18,267$4,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,425.861,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bulls35c17,770$6,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,522.7917658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Cavaliers26c17,285$4,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,417.7118453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers41c16,460$6,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,677.665,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Cavaliers44c16,320$7,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,143.3227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Bulls34c16,177$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,676.6847751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Bulls35c15,500$5,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0753036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Cavaliers65c15,000$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7505139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Cavaliers64c15,000$9,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,652.4562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Cavaliers64c14,989$9,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,592.824035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers32c14,213$4,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,578.721,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers59c13,440$7,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,923.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Cavaliers55c13,387$7,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,36013435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Bulls33c12,062$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.3121923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers33c11,994$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9002,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers64c11,832$7,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,573.331,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls36c11,111$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,111.1176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Cavaliers1c10,767$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6726637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Cavaliers66c10,247$6,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,750.75259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers64c10,112$6,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691b…8ac2backed Bulls35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.9861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls36c8,911$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,703.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Bulls35c8,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20014055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Bulls35c8,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20016339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Cavaliers64c8,000$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,12014945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Cavaliers66c7,336$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.682352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Bulls35c7,268$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,724.2229037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls36c6,916$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,426.22,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Cavaliers32c6,418$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.4134227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f7…b2e9backed Cavaliers66c6,061$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.061457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers65c5,945$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.374,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ad…fb6dbacked Cavaliers64c5,937$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Cavaliers64c5,767$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.5336741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Bulls60c5,618$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.6412541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers64c5,378$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.9644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Cavaliers40c5,050$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0206448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Cavaliers53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6503455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Bulls36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2001450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e2…1f0ebacked Cavaliers63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eef…76bbbacked Cavaliers62c5,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+126.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls53c4,946$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.213,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bulls35c4,872$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.0355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cavaliers71c4,631$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.6731453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Cavaliers44c4,222$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8604623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Cavaliers65c4,158$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70315855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Cavaliers4c4,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Bulls35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa0…4b30backed Bulls35c4,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba48…6d5fbacked Cavaliers64c3,904$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Cavaliers65c3,900$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53511149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50fd…cd30backed Bulls35c3,900$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5352740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ff…1a3abacked Bulls35c3,884$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15bd…3e07backed Cavaliers75c3,850$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.722665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Cavaliers42c3,736$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.0316942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Bulls39c3,585$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.1819136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8111…38f0backed Cavaliers50c3,562$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7811533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cavaliers64c3,394$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.8330947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf467…a993backed Bulls35c3,377$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers66c3,212$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.6734062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099a…236cbacked Bulls35c3,143$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+70.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Cavaliers64c3,123$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.992556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68df…7b21backed Cavaliers66c3,121$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c1…c166backed Bulls34c3,103$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Cavaliers65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a65…9442backed Bulls29c3,031$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+248.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Cavaliers66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Cavaliers63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8902536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5caa…953fbacked Bulls35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9df…249ebacked Cavaliers37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Cavaliers65c2,967$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.557347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers18c2,964$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Cavaliers68c2,959$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.062030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x872b…c3c0backed Cavaliers20c2,875$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5751513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Cavaliers37c2,838$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.832744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cavaliers64c2,653$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.