NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x610a1f44cbbdeff5815c6592b8681cf43221526d04444381d5fa43f99185ceaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 125,000$65,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,999.92 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.97 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 18,451$9,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,305.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…d53cbacked Under | 48c | 15,797$7,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,202.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…01a3backed Under | 48c | 14,735$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,623.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 14,000$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,079.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fb…5199backed Under | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 48c | 12,019$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.75 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…0fdabacked Under | 48c | 11,027$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf116…3c2ebacked Under | 48c | 10,425$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…aeefbacked Under | 48c | 10,413$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…c638backed Under | 48c | 9,375$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 7,185$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.15 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdb…873fbacked Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 5,740$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 5,048$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.11 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 4,691$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…8b49backed Under | 48c | 3,615$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 3,574$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Under | 48c | 2,761$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 48c | 2,494$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.75 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 52c | 2,299$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.68 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 2,224$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.25 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 2,098$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.92 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,736$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Over | 3c | 1,730$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 7cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Under | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 55c | 1,528$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.67 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 980.36$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Over | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…0accbacked Under | 48c | 499.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 30c | 412$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.18 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…f88ebacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 299.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 49c | 262$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 49c | 233$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Under | 48c | 228.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 48c | 204.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 48c | 137.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 48c | 133$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 45c | 124$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 45c | 123$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 30c | 99.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Over | 53c | 94.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Under | 49c | 93.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 48c | 91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 76c | 84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 80.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Over | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Under | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 54c | 55.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 24c | 48.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 52c | 44.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…32ddbacked Over | 53c | 34.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Bulls won
- Cavaliers vs. BullsBulls won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.