NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6138b685fb3e9d197376b3370604e8137ebc8a6016ff0c93f2c09a5d0f0fc21d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Cavaliers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 46c | 8,055$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Bulls | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 4,296$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,039$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.16 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.78 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 838.59$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 54c | 736.36$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 48c | 578.11$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bulls | 45c | 458.45$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Cavaliers | 55c | 428.16$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cavaliers | 52c | 383.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Bulls | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Cavaliers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Bulls | 47c | 323.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Cavaliers | 50c | 318.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Bulls | 46c | 245$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Bulls | 46c | 225$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Bulls | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Cavaliers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Bulls | 47c | 141$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bulls | 49c | 129.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Bulls | 53c | 115.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Bulls | 46c | 109$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Bulls | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 92.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Bulls | 47c | 91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Cavaliers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 50c | 90.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Bulls | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 84.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bulls | 46c | 82.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Bulls | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Bulls | 47c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Bulls | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 64.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Bulls | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Bulls | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Bulls | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Cavaliers | 55c | 52.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Cavaliers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Cavaliers | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Bulls | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Cavaliers | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -9.8wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Cavaliers | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Bulls | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 52c | 39.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Bulls | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Cavaliers | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Bulls | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Cavaliers | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Cavaliers | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Cavaliers | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Bulls | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Cavaliers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Cavaliers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Cavaliers | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Cavaliers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Cavaliers | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Cavaliers | 54c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Cavaliers | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…fb43backed Cavaliers | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Cavaliers | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Cavaliers | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 24.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Bulls won
- Cavaliers vs. BullsBulls won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.