NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb0213135df6c0bf4dd9b3f5fae9f1f4538d0ebb5af3f739b05cae6d0a69ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Cavaliers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 49c | 51,893$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600.06 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 49c | 36,470$17,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,562.37 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 51c | 23,600$12,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,012.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Bulls | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 15,649$7,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,824.71 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cavaliers | 51c | 15,028$7,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,664.23 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 9,075$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Bulls | 49c | 7,998$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.89 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 7,655$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.5 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 7,379$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Bulls | 52c | 5,088$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.29 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Bulls | 50c | 4,922$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,300$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Bulls | 52c | 4,167$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 4,054$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Bulls | 50c | 4,021$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.52 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Bulls | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,854$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.08 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,226$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Bulls | 51c | 2,911$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.39 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,640$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.21 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,240$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…cc80backed Bulls | 50c | 1,668$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Bulls | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Bulls | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,172$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Bulls | 51c | 1,153$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.94 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 977.57$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.21 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 50c | 871$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bulls | 49c | 762.87$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bulls | 50c | 750.01$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.01 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Bulls | 51c | 647.32$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Bulls | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Cavaliers | 50c | 470.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 49c | 415$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bulls | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…6bb5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 74c | 364.31$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Bulls | 48c | 340.24$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Bulls | 52c | 328.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…d867backed Cavaliers | 49c | 302.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…6991backed Bulls | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bulls | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bulls | 52c | 279$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Bulls | 45c | 225.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Bulls | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…feabbacked Bulls | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 50c | 186.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Bulls | 51c | 169$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 49c | 161.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bulls | 51c | 157.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0808…3aafbacked Bulls | 71c | 141.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Cavaliers | 26c | 129.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Bulls | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Bulls | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Bulls | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e84…fbdabacked Bulls | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Bulls | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Bulls | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…2302backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Bulls | 48c | 97.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cavaliers | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…114fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 93.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Cavaliers | 48c | 83.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 50c | 80.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…746ebacked Bulls | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 48c | 77.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Bulls | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…4dafbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers | 49c | 73.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 73.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Bulls won
- Cavaliers vs. BullsBulls won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.