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NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Over49c20,063$9,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,830.631,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c15,098$7,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,404.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over50c14,974$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c8,033$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under52c5,436$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.0640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Under52c5,149$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.5314753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over50c4,684$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.032759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c4,021$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Over49c3,216$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.857347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c3,135$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.3736351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under51c2,113$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.742,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Over48c1,913$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.243756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under52c1,786$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.6144648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Under53c1,538$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.7416136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c1,361$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.51,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,168$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c1,019$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.092,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under47c931$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.11,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over53c930.99$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.4249938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over49c757.5$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Under53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.388246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b9f…c794backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd233…a5efbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a9…1d02backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab5…3ee2backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f53…fb5fbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4b…28d8backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf31a…5111backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4f9ebacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf151…1ccfbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…81cfbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x506a…6bfcbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99b7…71f1backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a95…762ebacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe9…33bcbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fad…ca17backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb865…c308backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa29…570abacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd5…53a0backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c55…d6a2backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f77…c246backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8b…ce12backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23d…1b72backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf317…25a3backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…0900backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217a…6347backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ff…6b69backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ae…a414backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…c197backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68f…ad45backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cff…43b5backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f3…f215backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde9…3a18backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba8…bed9backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x455b…8d0cbacked Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90fe…2b42backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae9…bfdbbacked Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb2…e786backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…64efbacked Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a3…ed97backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…cb0abacked Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ee…19bcbacked Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…e876backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4c…7d0fbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ae…c11dbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5d…3614backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c6f…8629backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4119…fd2fbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…c71bbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a3b…e822backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…e91bbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7893…1580backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x273a…431dbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb9…1617backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x735e…7cb1backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71d7…0189backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcadb…0c3fbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4065…7b08backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe00d…11d4backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5003…d155backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aee…8451backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x444b…dbaebacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…6502backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x846b…9818backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3939…7e71backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d3…e264backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf30…49febacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc5…7436backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e7…5a6dbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x603e…8c30backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49dd…861cbacked Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b63…9156backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a6…2901backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfa…7eb1backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc18b…a156backed Under48c610$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7983…1cc4backed Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a2…062cbacked Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…b30abacked Over52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.