NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d19e92d07ca99567018e92c747c7bc68e8bd3f17de489cc76158eebdf42b2a2

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $123,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $130,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,458 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Over	49c	61,734$30,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,267	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-12.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	51c	53,369$27,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,151	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	11,981$6,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,855.26	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	10,868$5,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,090.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under	52c	9,538$4,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,578.24	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under	55c	4,518$2,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,035.62	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	51c	3,480$1,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,761	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over	48c	3,333$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.84	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Over	47c	2,773$1,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,303.5	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98b5…e61fbacked Under	51c	1,959$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.05	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Under	46c	1,600$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.99	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a04…d57dbacked Under	55c	1,109$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.09	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	44c	999.46$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.54	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Over	55c	753.35$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.17	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	49c	743.14$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.14	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	51c	661$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.89	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under	55c	545.45$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.45	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Under	53c	538.91$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.29	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under	52c	400$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd643…9811backed Under	51c	391.96$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.06	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Under	52c	370$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.6	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	174	56.9%99 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	294	58.5%172 W · 122 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	44c	292.9$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.82	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	54c	250$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Over	22c	247.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.03	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Under	54c	246.22$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.26	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda58…00e9backed Under	55c	244.82$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.17	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Under	53c	225$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.75	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Under	52c	225$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4e4d…b087backed Under	54c	222.22$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	54c	220$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.2	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over	47c	220$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.4	237	48.1%114 W · 123 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under	54c	210$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.6	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a5…1633backed Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f80…d2ecbacked Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Over	47c	167.04$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.51	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a28…c2e1backed Under	53c	160$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.2	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Under	55c	159.56$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.8	173	41%71 W · 102 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	52c	157$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.74	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	50c	157$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.5	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…0b8dbacked Under	77c	153$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.19	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	60c	147.64$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.95	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb031…ceb6backed Under	51c	137$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.13	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under	54c	129$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.34	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under	78c	128.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.27	373	52%194 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Under	51c	113.73$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.73	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Under	54c	111.11$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.11	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under	51c	108$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.92	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under	53c	107.98$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.75	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133e…5058backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	427	44.5%190 W · 237 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Under	52c	98.08$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.08	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under	54c	97$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.62	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cf…1dc8backed Under	50c	96$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b66…304cbacked Under	54c	92.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.58	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	271	52%141 W · 130 L	-17.9wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Under	54c	90$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Under	51c	87$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.63	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	49c	85$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	54c	83.92$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.6	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under	51c	83$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.67	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under	54c	83$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.18	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	58c	80.34$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.84	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Under	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-12.5wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Under	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a6…af86backed Under	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aba…7d56backed Under	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0622…81f0backed Under	50c	71$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Over	48c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.7	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4804…5580backed Under	50c	66$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under	54c	61$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.06	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Under	55c	58.18$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.18	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under	54c	56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4af…0938backed Under	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under	54c	53$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	314	30.3%95 W · 219 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Under	26c	50$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb5…b8d6backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-72%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under	54c	49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Over	46c	49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Over	46c	48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Over	46c	46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Bulls won
Cavaliers vs. BullsBulls won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Bulls won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bulls won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event