NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ed768e601f1058a630ed821fb6c2b7180f20563e7c21575bce2bac4a094a217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Red Wings, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Oilers | 63c | 58,050$36,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,596.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 18c | 45,000$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.4 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Red Wings | 37c | 33,388$12,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,353.68 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 27c | 29,045$7,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,765.68 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oilers | 73c | 25,630$18,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,862.04 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Oilers | 63c | 23,612$14,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,736.49 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Red Wings | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers | 62c | 8,425$5,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Red Wings | 37c | 8,408$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.45 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Red Wings | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Wings | 38c | 7,364$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.16 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Oilers | 75c | 6,700$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 37c | 5,622$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.15 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Oilers | 75c | 5,605$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.55 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 37c | 5,555$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.35 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 62c | 4,800$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Red Wings | 38c | 4,530$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.4 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings | 37c | 4,324$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.88 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Oilers | 62c | 4,323$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.87 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 62c | 4,166$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.18 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Red Wings | 16c | 3,351$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.16 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Red Wings | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Oilers | 63c | 2,602$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.8 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Oilers | 63c | 2,098$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Red Wings | 37c | 2,037$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.27 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Red Wings | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 62c | 1,862$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.56 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,647$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked Oilers | 64c | 1,627$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Red Wings | 36c | 1,623$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,597$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.66 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Oilers | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oilers | 62c | 1,472$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.29 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,446$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.75 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,443$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.74 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Red Wings | 38c | 1,415$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 22c | 1,404$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.73 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,389$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.65 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 27c | 1,316$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.69 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Red Wings | 35c | 1,155$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Oilers | 62c | 1,148$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.24 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Red Wings | 36c | 1,110$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 73c | 1,046$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Red Wings | 18c | 1,042$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Wings | 34c | 1,000$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Oilers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…7adbbacked Oilers | 64c | 953.13$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Wings | 18c | 799.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 79c | 776.21$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 37c | 776$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…1e84backed Red Wings | 38c | 744$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 37c | 708.21$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings | 30c | 703.93$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…12e9backed Oilers | 62c | 653$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Red Wings | 38c | 642.74$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Red Wings | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Oilers | 63c | 599.94$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Red Wings | 36c | 582.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.87 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…9e2fbacked Oilers | 63c | 582$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…d2c7backed Oilers | 63c | 574$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Red Wings | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings | 5c | 533.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Red Wings | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 76c | 511.79$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Red Wings | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Red Wings | 16c | 482.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Oilers | 73c | 473.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Red Wings | 13c | 459.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Red Wings | 37c | 413.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…d2acbacked Red Wings | 38c | 412.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Red Wings | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Red Wings | 38c | 399.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Oilers | 76c | 385.42$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Red Wings | 37c | 378.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Oilers | 73c | 359$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Red Wings | 39c | 352.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Oilers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Red Wings | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Red Wings | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Oilers | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Red Wings | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…a485backed Red Wings | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…7935backed Red Wings | 38c | 297.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…5d4abacked Oilers | 64c | 291.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Red Wings | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Oilers | 61c | 268$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Red Wings | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Red Wings | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings | 28c | 255$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Red Wings | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Red Wings | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Red Wings | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Oilers | 63c | 247.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…cd76backed Red Wings | 15c | 226.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Red Wings | 36c | 226$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Oilersthis page
- Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.