NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe42efad662cbc3b9e6093ed800c2103ca5f572b7cef72229d715b014a494bd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 13,099$6,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.25 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 5,827$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.75 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.49 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,775$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 2,708$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.13 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 50c | 1,786$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.85 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,406$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.09 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 1,219$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.07 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 735$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 52c | 490.69$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.16 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 447.6$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 443.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.3 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 229$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…cab7backed Under | 49c | 208.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 188.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 131$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 49c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…058abacked Under | 49c | 98.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed Over | 53c | 94.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…1ec7backed Over | 51c | 49.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 48c | 39.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 35.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 33.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 39c | 31.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 26.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Over | 53c | 25.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 25.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 24.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Over | 53c | 24.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…fdf1backed Over | 53c | 23.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 47c | 22.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Red Wings vs. OilersOilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.