TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Pegula

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pegulaof Yastremska, Pegula
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Yastremska41c28,600$11,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,730.92,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3f…ab1cbacked Yastremska0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pegula78c10,934$8,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.1765959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Pegula48c7,999$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,128.765349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yastremska32c6,019$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.5315447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Pegula53c5,662$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.0172132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Pegula37c5,430$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.1528444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Pegula74c4,832$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.025860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Pegula36c4,183$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.4236968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yastremska49c3,647$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.4611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yastremska43c3,075$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.5831647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yastremska30c2,809$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.381,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Pegula38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.581070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yastremska45c2,107$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.872,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pegula75c1,890$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.548,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pegula58c1,796$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.461,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yastremska38c1,540$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.512,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pegula35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9781938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Pegula68c1,324$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.534266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yastremska62c1,303$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.329854%161 W · 137 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yastremska49c1,299$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.457,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Pegula74c1,133$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.461,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Pegula57c1,125$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.822975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yastremska40c1,006$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.261,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcaf…9343backed Yastremska67c1,003$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.17955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Pegula43c941.09$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.6644038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yastremska23c816.67$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.32,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yastremska25c809.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yastremska25c799.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+117.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pegula67c755.18$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2114750.3%74 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Yastremska46c713.61$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.873046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pegula67c694.48$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yastremska34c691.3$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.772,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yastremska29c680$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.824340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc8…cd76backed Pegula43c679.45$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.78633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Pegula67c675.18$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8663247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10a…c514backed Yastremska15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…feb6backed Pegula54c665.59$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78f…72dbbacked Pegula55c660.29$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.131050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yastremska19c625.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.812,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3d…f572backed Yastremska20c600$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+156.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pegula65c557.08$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.91,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Yastremska66c510.33$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7725556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Yastremska56c491.58$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.044247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Pegula43c466.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Pegula73c455.8$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.113844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yastremska46c451.59$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.685040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pegula68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yastremska27c449.13$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7422236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pegula70c419.98$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.998348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Pegula73c405.63$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yastremska28c405.4$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4973048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8be…f991backed Yastremska27c401.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.327027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Yastremska25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Yastremska66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.971060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Pegula44c398.91$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9122744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pegula62c376.43$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4527627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yastremska56c357.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62c1…4f93backed Yastremska15c339.19$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4560%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Yastremska30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe928…3b65backed Yastremska29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe2b…c345backed Pegula69c299.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yastremska21c299.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6317741.8%74 W · 103 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yastremska27c297.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8928139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Pegula71c295.1$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2627058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4f…3ae6backed Yastremska7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Pegula72c278.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.899669.8%67 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Yastremska46c276.94$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.572839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Pegula61c274.38$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0118933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Pegula65c269.23$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2369350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…b2e7backed Yastremska5c244.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…8155backed Pegula63c243.02$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Pegula42c231.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7318460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yastremska28c229$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8226921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Pegula57c211.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.723435.3%12 W · 22 L-7.7wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pegula65c209.71$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Pegula49c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pegula51c197.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yastremska65c195.37$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.697,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Pegula52c195.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.321,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yastremska32c187.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Yastremska45c172.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.843151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd7…215ebacked Yastremska55c169.09$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Yastremska30c168.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.632944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Pegula67c167.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2715648.7%76 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a62…c009backed Pegula65c154.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.31887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Pegula78c152.03$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.627444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Pegula68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485927.1%16 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Pegula39c147.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4911242.9%48 W · 64 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Pegula72c133.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.067466.2%49 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked Pegula71c133.37$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.68666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yastremska45c132.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1914947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Pegula63c131.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.582,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pegula53c127.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.471,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yastremska25c127.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9334842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yastremska31c122.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8522021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Yastremska21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Pegula44c119.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0559721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Pegula40c115$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.75850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Pegula61c112.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5645147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.