TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe2b…c345

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$25.2
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$210
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$137.6
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$77.4
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$225
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$609.97
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+78.6%+$439.99
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$539.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.99
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.03
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$269.56
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$44.2
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+323.6%+$305.62
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$522
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$503.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$117.7
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$184
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$223.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$496
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$496
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$480
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$222
LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$503.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$212
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.5
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$417.89
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick31cpaid+243.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+316.7%+$190
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+158.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$212
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.