Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d90387307ecbc2b0c3e61d9a9c619ac6bfa2b55ebc24a6086d69f07a93fe9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $668,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $795,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 36c | 84,094$30,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed PlayTime | 42c | 27,198$11,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,301.07 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 63c | 26,003$16,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,621.04 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 22,173$14,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.73 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 62c | 21,387$13,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,121.31 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Falcons | 53c | 18,597$9,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,821.88 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 11,997$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875.83 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 11,083$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,038.92 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 10,482$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 45c | 10,005$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.41 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 41c | 9,855$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.86 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 45c | 9,619$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 45c | 9,088$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 8,000$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 62c | 7,977$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.31 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Falcons | 42c | 7,503$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.22 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 7,303$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.84 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 7,105$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.31 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…6f5fbacked PlayTime | 62c | 6,781$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PlayTime | 58c | 6,363$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.65 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 64c | 6,200$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.9 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked PlayTime | 68c | 5,846$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 5,658$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.42 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PlayTime | 45c | 5,518$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.1 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PlayTime | 45c | 5,500$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.38 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed PlayTime | 55c | 5,273$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.87 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 5,170$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.25 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Team Falcons | 44c | 5,021$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.79 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.99 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 4,900$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed PlayTime | 48c | 4,849$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 42c | 4,224$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.27 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PlayTime | 45c | 4,090$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.25 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 45c | 3,995$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.55 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 74c | 3,978$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.58 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,956$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.26 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 54c | 3,800$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.3 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PlayTime | 38c | 3,664$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.23 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 60c | 3,645$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.11 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…2168backed Team Falcons | 37c | 3,082$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 51c | 3,009$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked PlayTime | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,928$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.7 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,859$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.78 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,557$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.06 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PlayTime | 45c | 2,540$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.86 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…8d1dbacked PlayTime | 34c | 2,450$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 41c | 2,420$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.54 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,400$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.9 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PlayTime | 45c | 2,372$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.46 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,223$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.16 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,122$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.79 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 2,091$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.71 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,079$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.56 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 2,011$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.7 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed PlayTime | 62c | 2,000$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.48 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PlayTime | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,985$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.25 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,952$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.98 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked PlayTime | 33c | 1,944$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.4 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,904$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,829$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.16 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed PlayTime | 55c | 1,787$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.13 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PlayTime | 61c | 1,750$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.49 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 33c | 1,726$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,695$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.97 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…36bebacked Team Falcons | 36c | 1,691$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,571$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.74 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…5439backed PlayTime | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Falcons | 31c | 1,559$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.48 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,557$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.36 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 46c | 1,550$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.15 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,515$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.47 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.09 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.85 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked PlayTime | 58c | 1,492$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.35 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed PlayTime | 69c | 1,457$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.8 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked PlayTime | 65c | 1,453$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.2 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…1582backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,448$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.24 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,404$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.66 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked PlayTime | 53c | 1,403$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PlayTime | 26c | 1,362$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.48 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked PlayTime | 36c | 1,338$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed PlayTime | 61c | 1,298$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.13 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,286$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.7 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 1,250$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…9eb1backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,237$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed PlayTime | 71c | 1,236$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.24 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,212$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,180$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.86 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,166$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.55 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked PlayTime | 53c | 1,145$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 45c | 1,139$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.15 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,104$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.07 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,081$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.18 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PlayTime | 63c | 1,080$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.3 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,077$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.14 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.