Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97a671a092ff30237213c3ccadc7e1ed73244c87bf0816f9f08d138986315a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $651,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 37c | 46,558$17,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,302.84 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed PlayTime | 50c | 22,222$11,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,111 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 41c | 19,277$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,832.83 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed PlayTime | 72c | 13,587$9,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,728.91 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 61c | 12,219$7,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.91 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 10,662$5,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.79 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 10,500$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.93 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 10,258$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.87 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 35c | 9,121$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.95 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 66c | 8,977$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.18 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 43c | 7,594$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.54 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 40c | 7,567$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 41c | 7,280$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 6,742$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.83 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 6,676$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.85 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 36c | 6,050$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.86 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed PlayTime | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Falcons | 79c | 5,558$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.03 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 5,432$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.39 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 5,422$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.73 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PlayTime | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,447$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.26 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons | 42c | 4,435$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.32 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Falcons | 50c | 4,388$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 67c | 3,953$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.49 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 16c | 3,852$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.24 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 34c | 3,843$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.87 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked PlayTime | 64c | 3,712$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 3,487$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.77 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,414$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.48 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 3,374$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.26 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Falcons | 46c | 3,352$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.72 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked Team Falcons | 63c | 3,316$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.54 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 3,229$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.34 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 42c | 2,940$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.08 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PlayTime | 54c | 2,901$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.25 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Falcons | 31c | 2,861$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.49 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,778$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.08 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed PlayTime | 53c | 2,651$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.49 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,618$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.91 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,536$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.21 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,513$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,340$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.4 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed PlayTime | 42c | 2,265$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.8 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,264$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.27 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…2168backed PlayTime | 65c | 2,250$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PlayTime | 43c | 2,169$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.1 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,104$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.23 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,064$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.57 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked PlayTime | 34c | 1,961$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.16 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…ee26backed PlayTime | 5c | 1,921$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,916$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.76 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,896$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.12 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,890$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 42c | 1,785$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.25 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,750$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,715$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.74 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,680$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PlayTime | 52c | 1,661$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.04 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PlayTime | 52c | 1,600$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,575$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.9 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PlayTime | 62c | 1,541$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.98 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked PlayTime | 56c | 1,530$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.15 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 53c | 1,525$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.16 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Team Falcons | 32c | 1,519$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.83 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,503$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.05 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed PlayTime | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 1,496$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.98 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PlayTime | 39c | 1,492$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.01 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed PlayTime | 37c | 1,473$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,470$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.61 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…3023backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,447$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,442$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.31 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,419$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.74 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,400$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.67 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,386$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.96 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,369$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.77 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PlayTime | 34c | 1,304$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.95 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 34c | 1,286$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.87 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,249$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…36bebacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,210$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,200$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,166$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.84 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime | 54c | 1,136$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.44 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,109$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.46 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed PlayTime | 35c | 1,108$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.08 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Falcons | 27c | 1,099$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.11 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PlayTime | 64c | 1,078$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.05 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PlayTime | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.08 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,012$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.24 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,010$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.02 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed PlayTime | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 62c | 999.99$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.