Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd1641c13888a62533ab6d03a6b4fd8380f6bd1eeb6a69b545f8128cd9664b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 23c | 133,439$31,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,041.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 74c | 36,030$26,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,367.8 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Falcons | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.08 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PlayTime | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PlayTime | 23c | 19,868$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.91 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons | 76c | 14,822$11,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.69 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 14,500$11,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 10,016$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.78 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…a163backed Team Falcons | 79c | 8,216$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.09 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 8,181$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.06 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 6,673$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.03 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons | 76c | 6,531$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.36 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 6,500$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 70c | 6,499$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.02 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Falcons | 74c | 5,925$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.84 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 5,115$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.73 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked PlayTime | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 70c | 4,840$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.79 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed PlayTime | 25c | 4,648$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.43 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 76c | 3,947$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.37 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked PlayTime | 25c | 3,938$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.43 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 24c | 3,897$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.31 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PlayTime | 37c | 3,878$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.19 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Team Falcons | 74c | 3,730$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.71 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed PlayTime | 26c | 3,730$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.71 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons | 77c | 3,621$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.81 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked PlayTime | 31c | 3,581$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed PlayTime | 24c | 2,940$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 2,857$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons | 75c | 2,828$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.88 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked PlayTime | 27c | 2,800$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.76 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 2,518$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.62 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 26c | 2,500$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.33 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Team Falcons | 76c | 2,490$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.55 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,471$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.74 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 74c | 2,282$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.01 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Falcons | 75c | 2,171$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed PlayTime | 23c | 2,000$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.73 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,931$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.65 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…89a3backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,900$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed PlayTime | 25c | 1,900$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,895$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.75 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,873$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.44 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,866$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.87 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed PlayTime | 34c | 1,804$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed PlayTime | 28c | 1,780$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,730$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.66 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 7c | 1,729$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…7091backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,656$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,585$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PlayTime | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.98 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,427$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.7 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked PlayTime | 23c | 1,416$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.79 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked PlayTime | 25c | 1,391$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 1,379$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.04 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed PlayTime | 23c | 1,243$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.98 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,240$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,116$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked PlayTime | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,050$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed PlayTime | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed PlayTime | 14c | 999.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 987.64$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.89 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PlayTime | 24c | 970.29$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Team Falcons | 75c | 910.33$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed PlayTime | 24c | 880$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 860$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Team Falcons | 76c | 850.38$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed PlayTime | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked PlayTime | 29c | 798.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 73c | 792.28$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PlayTime | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…095dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 765.85$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…9bf9backed PlayTime | 48c | 764.73$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed PlayTime | 28c | 737.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…5439backed Team Falcons | 70c | 709.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 708.74$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.06 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 688.92$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 688.17$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Falcons | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 673.92$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed PlayTime | 26c | 657.58$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Team Falcons | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 623.83$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 617$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons | 72c | 600$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed PlayTime | 24c | 599.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Falcons | 77c | 592$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked PlayTime | 15c | 575.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 52c | 566.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.04 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Falcons | 74c | 565$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PlayTime | 25c | 555$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PlayTime | 21c | 551.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked PlayTime | 25c | 546$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.