TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,348,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,498,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,348,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Jazz39c213,662$83,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,328.13033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz26c110,000$28,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,199.8938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies61c88,899$54,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,670.3287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Grizzlies62c75,000$46,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,751.9422453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies61c65,555$39,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,566.4572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies77c58,096$44,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,273.041,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Jazz39c50,001$19,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,664.4723245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Grizzlies61c50,000$30,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,499.9920551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz40c41,892$16,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,656.7751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Jazz6c32,000$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.3526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies63c26,481$16,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,841.536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Grizzlies60c25,820$15,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,352.1320055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Grizzlies60c22,265$13,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,905.8619351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Grizzlies58c22,173$12,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,312.6917250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz40c21,000$8,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,37035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies60c19,962$12,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,939.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Grizzlies61c19,026$11,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,420.1445348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz22c18,338$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,964.571,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Jazz40c18,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,25014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jazz39c17,000$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,63037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b2…cf16backed Grizzlies61c16,746$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,596.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz36c16,563$5,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,894.892,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Grizzlies61c16,393$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,393.4434062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies75c15,394$11,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,907.223,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Grizzlies60c14,800$8,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,919.824447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz39c12,500$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz1c12,049$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz5c11,698$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.361,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies58c10,413$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,393.282,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz39c10,000$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.971,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Grizzlies61c9,836$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.075947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz14c8,814$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.71,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Grizzlies60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz29c7,239$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.724,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…46aebacked Grizzlies70c6,653$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-64.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies60c6,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies60c5,219$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.531,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz14c5,160$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.451,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz38c5,100$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.981,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz27c5,060$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9835547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz39c4,568$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.5289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz24c4,411$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.371,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Jazz2c4,333$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Grizzlies71c4,255$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.422240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz41c4,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62062347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies61c3,962$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.842,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3657…6cd3backed Grizzlies60c3,930$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5729256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafc9…9015backed Jazz43c3,800$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz42c3,766$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.052,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1673…a9dcbacked Grizzlies59c3,754$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz26c3,615$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.213,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Jazz38c3,562$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.826247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz39c3,431$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.085,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Jazz5c3,427$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8423630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz1c3,327$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.271,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies60c3,177$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4487…1ec1backed Grizzlies63c3,105$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.871729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz18c3,064$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Jazz39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17022637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Grizzlies79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6306448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Grizzlies60c2,945$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.1835651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz27c2,909$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.142,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Jazz40c2,863$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Jazz39c2,805$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.9550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz37c2,798$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.362,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies51c2,695$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.4181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies61c2,689$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.781,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x442f…917abacked Grizzlies55c2,428$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c09…8e6ebacked Jazz44c2,416$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Jazz38c2,325$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.1344654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Grizzlies59c2,249$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2c…5933backed Jazz45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x144f…a1fdbacked Grizzlies56c2,222$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.642055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies73c2,146$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.3385344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz1c2,142$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.638783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Jazz19c2,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz37c2,033$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.2144648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Grizzlies61c2,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Grizzlies61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Jazz39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.999451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Grizzlies61c1,800$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70213153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies57c1,760$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jazz38c1,712$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7138148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz2c1,700$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0727917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Jazz44c1,641$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.4222449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies60c1,592$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.341,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Jazz33c1,525$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5129037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jazz32c1,502$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5634227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Jazz4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24c…fde7backed Jazz35c1,500$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Jazz37c1,400$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51819351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Jazz22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Grizzlies73c1,364$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8247856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies56c1,355$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.2574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ff…2f95backed Jazz3c1,350$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.