NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x553d98d1ec7a45bf176c8ab65bae4de1a1aa22231a2026e930fb022fe2380bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,155$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 51c | 2,136$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.93 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 64c | 1,400$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 896.08$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.08 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 795.09$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 50c | 579$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 505$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 51c | 370.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.45 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 25c | 201.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Under | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…56b6backed Under | 10c | 129.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 121$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 99.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 49c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 36c | 89.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 48c | 30.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. JazzGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.