NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0dc554ae17c2bd807cca427d172bd17e741c9b219355a5ab97c411931e4a48e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Bucks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,052,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,103,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,052,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Nets | 49c | 1,056,953$520,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536,952.75 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Bucks | 51c | 700,000$357,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357,000 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 51c | 237,582$121,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,166.85 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nets | 49c | 178,469$87,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,019.38 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bucks | 50c | 170,000$85,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,000 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Nets | 48c | 61,478$29,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,736.44 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Bucks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 53c | 44,362$23,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,593.9 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Nets | 64c | 40,946$26,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,720.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks | 37c | 40,171$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,199.84 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 54c | 37,380$20,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,244.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 49c | 34,207$16,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,928.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 46c | 34,099$15,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,348.16 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Bucks | 52c | 25,562$13,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,292.24 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 51c | 23,657$12,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,125.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 32c | 21,580$6,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.22 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 54c | 21,445$11,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,687.16 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 35c | 17,948$6,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360.67 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Bucks | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Bucks | 52c | 14,714$7,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,651.28 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Bucks | 38c | 14,681$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,575.49 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Bucks | 0c | 14,048$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Nets | 49c | 12,016$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,131.92 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…149fbacked Nets | 45c | 11,129$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bucks | 9c | 10,224$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.43 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nets | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.78 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 46c | 9,920$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb947…8444backed Bucks | 52c | 9,644$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets | 45c | 9,422$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.09 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Nets | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks | 54c | 7,972$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.89 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 30c | 7,666$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.93 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Nets | 76c | 7,233$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.44 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 43c | 6,985$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.48 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Nets | 45c | 6,628$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.19 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 74c | 6,058$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 50c | 5,774$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.4 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 37c | 5,507$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.33 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 73c | 5,013$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Bucks | 53c | 5,012$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.9 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bucks | 47c | 4,980$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.6 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nets | 46c | 4,964$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.65 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…d83abacked Bucks | 1c | 4,887$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…5c9cbacked Bucks | 47c | 4,470$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 26c | 4,443$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Nets | 46c | 4,347$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.28 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 39c | 4,333$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.17 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 34c | 4,313$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nets | 45c | 4,071$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.05 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 53c | 4,063$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 51c | 4,049$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.37 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Bucks | 45c | 4,014$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.39 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c3…4ee0backed Bucks | 54c | 3,802$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa332…730bbacked Nets | 46c | 3,789$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed Bucks | 53c | 3,769$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.76 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Bucks | 51c | 3,041$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.96 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Bucks | 51c | 3,041$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.28 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 53c | 3,009$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.78 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 1c | 2,957$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 38c | 2,837$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.95 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…f051backed Bucks | 15c | 2,651$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 19c | 2,610$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.4 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 46c | 2,487$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.89 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Nets | 73c | 2,365$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.44 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Bucks | 10c | 2,340$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 47c | 2,334$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.65 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Bucks | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Bucks | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Bucks | 53c | 2,109$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.94 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…4ea0backed Bucks | 1c | 2,044$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Nets | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.96 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,848$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.23 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Bucks | 1c | 1,819$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks | 1c | 1,818$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Bucks | 54c | 1,800$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Bucks | 6c | 1,759$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…b6ddbacked Bucks | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Bucks | 36c | 1,699$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.44 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Nets | 48c | 1,694$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.75 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Bucks | 32c | 1,648$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.31 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Bucks | 20c | 1,645$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Nets | 46c | 1,631$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.74 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5996…0264backed Bucks | 24c | 1,610$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e79…9deebacked Nets | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaa…aa2bbacked Nets | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…70d2backed Bucks | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…cc7fbacked Bucks | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 60c | 1,500$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.39 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nets | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Nets | 45c | 1,399$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.32 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bucks | 22c | 1,397$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.68 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nets | 42c | 1,247$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.77 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Netsthis page
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.