TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,526 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe405…bf91backed Over52c13,024$6,749 inLost-$6,748.7648448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c6,060$3,030 inWon+$3,030.0836351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under50c5,728$2,864 inWon+$2,86440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c1,295$622 inWon+$673.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Over2c1,000$20 inLost-$20220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over21c761$160 inLost-$159.8135326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over57c595.63$340 inLost-$339.791,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c500$240 inWon+$2602,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c300$144 inWon+$1563,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c235.63$36 inWon+$199.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c230$115 inLost-$11524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7bf…c638backed Under50c230$115 inWon+$1151060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over14c229.99$31 inLost-$31.3967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over51c133$68 inLost-$67.834447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Under18c111.04$20 inWon+$91.283360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over62c96.77$60 inLost-$6071044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c67$32 inWon+$34.842,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under35c65.44$23 inWon+$42.442259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost-$3060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c49.36$24 inWon+$25.234,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186b…1148backed Over68c45.01$31 inLost-$30.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8eda…1847backed Over50c40.8$20 inLost-$20.41010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-80.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde2e…6875backed Over62c40.32$25 inLost-$256149.2%30 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c25$13 inLost-$12.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.