NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea1a010f648cd73aa723f74e5996c203afbc65fac0f7fdefce6672a5da856a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 53c | 15,568$8,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,357.86 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 11,477$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 6,342$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.56 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 49c | 5,052$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.12 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 49c | 4,103$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.94 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 3,967$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.33 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 53c | 3,792$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf4…b553backed Under | 53c | 3,390$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…f83dbacked Under | 50c | 2,624$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…3127backed Under | 51c | 2,536$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 2,053$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.79 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…2b5dbacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Over | 45c | 1,816$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…e517backed Under | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 54c | 1,049$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Over | 50c | 1,009$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.69 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 70c | 734.41$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 45c | 651.11$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over | 45c | 552$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 526$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 500.01$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.01 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 50c | 500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 427$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.9 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 264$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 55c | 180.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 79.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under | 49c | 60.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9aa5backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 42c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…cde8backed Under | 49c | 20.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…f449backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 218.5this page
- Bucks vs. NetsNets won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.