Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x975e7298d48075454c7ae3c108d5c35b0ce5f426cfc357630d63db164a32dd8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea60…3467backed No | 1c | 8,058$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 22c | 3,541$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.16 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 1c | 2,191$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 62c | 1,986$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.65 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 33c | 963.88$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.74 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 45c | 863.84$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.77 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 29c | 862.37$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.19 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 840.85$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.59 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…7d74backed Yes | 29c | 732.84$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.38 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 46c | 700.75$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.61 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…a475backed Yes | 40c | 687.41$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…0788backed Yes | 35c | 679.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed No | 2c | 625.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 73c | 589.99$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 578.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.21 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…f69dbacked No | 77c | 494.16$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 60c | 480.74$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 22c | 449.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.98 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 59c | 446.74$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.79 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 439.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 58c | 433.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 60c | 427.24$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 7c | 426.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked No | 79c | 407.5$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 35c | 400$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…4c89backed Yes | 53c | 397.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…28aebacked Yes | 35c | 378$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 376.91$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 5c | 373.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 23c | 353.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.96 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…d0c6backed No | 27c | 348.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 78c | 338.13$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 21c | 338.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f3…92d6backed Yes | 18c | 335.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 19c | 319.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.68 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 319.79$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.49 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 32c | 307.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.11 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked No | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 271.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 25c | 270$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 43c | 264.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 22c | 241.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 34c | 229.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0043…dadebacked No | 6c | 229.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed No | 61c | 227.15$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed Yes | 73c | 221.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 24c | 210.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…55babacked Yes | 51c | 208.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 38c | 203.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 50c | 196.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 195.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 34c | 191.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 22c | 188.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 188.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 68c | 181.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7f…c369backed Yes | 26c | 181.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 41c | 175$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked No | 73c | 170.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…d9d0backed Yes | 28c | 168.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…f86dbacked No | 49c | 166.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 55c | 166.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 29c | 163.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 155.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 77c | 154.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 29c | 149.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 31c | 147.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 34c | 146.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 22c | 145.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…92e6backed Yes | 38c | 144.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 45c | 143.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 71c | 142.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 33c | 141.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 35c | 136.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 134.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 64c | 133.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 42c | 132.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 74c | 132.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…25c0backed No | 75c | 130.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 128.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 23c | 127.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 53c | 125.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 79c | 124.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 10c | 121.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 47c | 119.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…8208backed Yes | 49c | 117.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed No | 80c | 116.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…aeb5backed Yes | 38c | 116.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Yes | 54c | 114.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 80c | 114.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…1291backed No | 42c | 112.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 76c | 109.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 77c | 108.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 15c | 103.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 77.1%81 W · 24 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 22c | 97.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 36c | 95.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on April 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.