Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7427d2cad7b406bd6b20ed68d4219905116f5bae88ff2755969c49ef0ec23a20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41e7…0788backed Yes | 5c | 4,925$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…13aebacked Yes | 0c | 3,548$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…d158backed Yes | 42c | 1,518$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 72c | 1,164$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…d988backed Yes | 1c | 1,050$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…a475backed Yes | 61c | 903.02$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 870.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 10c | 698.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Yes | 5c | 686.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 623.92$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 18c | 569.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…f4e3backed Yes | 5c | 547.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 4c | 475.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 20c | 475.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 54c | 465.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 26c | 448.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…9e62backed Yes | 3c | 443.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 31c | 399.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 38c | 379$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 373.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 21c | 369.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 360.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 28c | 352.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 14c | 350.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 18c | 349.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 29c | 348.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe17e…ed4abacked Yes | 23c | 341.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 29c | 340.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 335.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 28c | 327.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 3c | 312.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 299.63$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed Yes | 5c | 294.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 68c | 286.56$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 68c | 279.52$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 273.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…92e6backed Yes | 30c | 240.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed Yes | 7c | 230.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 27c | 228.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…c0cbbacked Yes | 35c | 226.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…5289backed Yes | 38c | 213.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 19c | 212.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…e549backed Yes | 11c | 199.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 32c | 191.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 68c | 184.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…4735backed Yes | 33c | 180.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 177.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 25c | 174.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…af3bbacked Yes | 39c | 168$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…55babacked Yes | 34c | 165.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…7876backed Yes | 39c | 164.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58af…1250backed Yes | 24c | 162.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 159.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 25c | 159.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 158.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 30c | 157.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…b59bbacked Yes | 32c | 154.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 23c | 149.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 25c | 149.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…b73cbacked Yes | 31c | 149.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 65c | 147.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 14c | 140.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…30eebacked Yes | 13c | 139.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 77c | 137.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 24c | 137$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…722ebacked Yes | 39c | 136.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…d618backed Yes | 27c | 135.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 15c | 134.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 24c | 133.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…ff26backed Yes | 28c | 131.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 28c | 128.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 39c | 128.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 77c | 120.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…7ca0backed Yes | 38c | 115.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 110.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 79c | 109.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 109.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Yes | 26c | 108.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…95d3backed Yes | 46c | 106.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 28c | 104.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 76c | 103.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 16c | 103.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 17c | 100.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…d9d0backed Yes | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 25c | 99.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 26c | 98.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ea…ff80backed Yes | 37c | 97.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked No | 69c | 96.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 42c | 94.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 28c | 93.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 73c | 91.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Yes | 27c | 88.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 69c | 88.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 32c | 87.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on April 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.