TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59a7…30ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.88
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.06
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$9.81
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$28.14
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.14
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$23.62
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.65
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$17.16
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.14
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$12.75
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$13.3
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Xinyu Wang vs Harmony Tanbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.83
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Wuning: Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.02
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machacbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$6.73
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
San Luis Potosi: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.09
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$15.95
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$16.02
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$6.06
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$7.98
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C or higher on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+260.2%+$48.28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+281.8%+$52.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+128.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+251%+$50.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$13.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.