TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef27…381bbacked Under50c19,572$9,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,874.948452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over53c13,305$7,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,021.154355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe4…9bcfbacked Over50c7,194$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Over51c5,727$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.835947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c4,573$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c4,031$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over51c3,037$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.9712646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over41c3,005$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.111639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…2851backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over51c2,120$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.0914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over51c1,998$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.027647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Under49c1,977$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.4512147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c1,891$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.42,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c1,512$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.2517349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under50c1,360$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.8311651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under56c1,000$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4451,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…a974backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c999.9$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under50c969.98$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.995354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under55c901.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.5665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under51c830.66$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.491250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c790.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.521,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over51c789.25$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under49c697.97$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Over50c638.02$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.011428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c636.27$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c635.93$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8615543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over52c548.31$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1227241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c459.21$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.471,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under48c439.37$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked Under49c403.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.062259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over50c402.55$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2817850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under49c387.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7614946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under50c365.55$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7824044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under48c341.73$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.663455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Under50c290.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.492653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under70c280.78$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over52c280.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6811558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under56c276.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3213253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over52c273.73$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c270.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.831,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over52c270.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8319550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c270.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over52c270.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c242.35$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under49c207.05$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.638853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under49c200.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.227153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over42c178$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7620638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over30c161.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8910523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under49c138.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.427450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over46c125.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.331,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c106.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.51,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c101.57$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.581,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Under49c101.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.462934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c100.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.346,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5143752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under49c99.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.556543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4532450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under58c96.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8227553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under48c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5689…2b99backed Over53c79.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.242240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c79.39$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under49c77.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5528949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.811,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8517758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c73.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.571,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c73.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.951,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under49c69.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.373649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under39c66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over52c64.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.276237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.114444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c58.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9810047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaae4…b1ccbacked Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…7f2cbacked Over53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.156762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c52.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc268…0b96backed Over52c51.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e4…7197backed Under49c50.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.011942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over52c49.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9913052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under52c48.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over30c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Over52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2812548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under57c44.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1514359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Under49c40.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.873956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.