TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x031a…50b7backed Spurs50c14,205$7,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,125.689357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs41c9,322$3,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,545.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers51c8,693$4,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,451.421,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs48c6,815$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560.341,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers63c5,144$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked 76ers55c4,855$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.9514556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs38c4,835$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.0319246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers66c4,676$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.921,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs58c3,336$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.61,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs45c2,914$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers49c2,802$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers48c2,282$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.263,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Spurs45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked 76ers78c1,718$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.31973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked 76ers41c1,500$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs36c1,418$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.982,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs42c1,346$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.151,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs45c1,164$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Spurs41c1,118$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.151,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Spurs46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5409845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed 76ers74c975.09$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.838549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers54c971.86$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs53c602.57$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs45c600$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3331,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed 76ers54c575.9$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.731,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed 76ers75c528.88$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6612454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs69c510.91$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Spurs59c496.86$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2631151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Spurs55c476.23$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.513346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked 76ers60c475.46$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed 76ers53c471.32$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked 76ers52c463.95$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8512752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked 76ers58c432.81$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0324949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed 76ers65c430.29$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.442,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 76ers49c385.1$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9236949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed 76ers55c371.35$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0142352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs53c364.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.391,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Spurs53c363.88$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed 76ers55c360.95$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3176250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs45c360.31$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked 76ers53c359.61$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3935052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed 76ers65c301.3$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed 76ers52c294.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.336848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs53c274.17$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.141,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Spurs45c267.9$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3516242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked 76ers55c266.69$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed 76ers55c265.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers52c250$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.082,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs35c249.9$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9950…d55fbacked 76ers50c233.74$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.393754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs54c233.38$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.351,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Spurs50c218.75$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Spurs53c210.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1629849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed 76ers59c210.47$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5942348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10091846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs53c201.73$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed 76ers48c199.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9238242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked 76ers49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9412845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Spurs54c186.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked 76ers54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2411833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked 76ers54c165.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.214032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed 76ers47c164.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.536852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Spurs47c161.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8820638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs44c157.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed 76ers49c155.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.337028.6%20 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Spurs48c154.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9715252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed 76ers30c152.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.150241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Spurs54c145.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4813052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Spurs47c137.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Spurs48c131.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8827553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed 76ers57c127.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6910042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Spurs46c119.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.523956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed 76ers41c112.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Spurs52c106.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.119550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked 76ers56c105.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3953348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked 76ers30c104.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6352053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed 76ers56c97.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8341449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x955a…60e1backed 76ers49c97.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.151827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked 76ers51c97.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs44c96.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers54c96.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.531,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed 76ers46c95.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked 76ers55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6534849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked 76ers56c78.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2e…0d9ebacked 76ers63c78.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.883040%12 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed 76ers51c77.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.757657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 76ers52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.851,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed 76ers55c74.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7532450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked 76ers63c69.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5911843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed 76ers48c67.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.537153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Spurs45c60.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9711059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs37c54.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.532,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Spurs54c54.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0346346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x709f…a1e4backed Spurs66c52.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed 76ers77c51.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.456443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked 76ers48c48.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Spurs43c45.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.993647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Spurs54c44.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2141753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked 76ers37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9736154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked 76ers51c39.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2211346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.