TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c8,030$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c4,733$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.412,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c4,192$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9913551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under39c3,348$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.61,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under45c2,089$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.812850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over57c1,981$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.0110254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over54c1,941$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.3531046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Under46c1,774$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.11338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c1,655$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.0984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over44c1,522$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.962,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,480$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.691,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a3…b7f7backed Over52c1,333$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Over66c1,328$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.218345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under54c1,309$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.240451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c1,089$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over53c1,069$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.5691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01f…8404backed Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c828.84$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.771,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over54c742.89$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.3121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under57c730.89$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.31,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under45c644.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5718748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under52c627.13$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.422,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under42c552.34$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.361,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over54c540.65$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.721,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over54c493.38$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4335546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c478.27$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under46c472$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.881,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c466.44$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Over57c439.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over57c417.03$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over57c393.1$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0714145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Over56c390.06$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c381.5$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.191,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c9…6adbbacked Over54c380.21$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.31850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c379.29$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c378.74$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.111,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c70…a951backed Under47c378.57$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.641464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c370.49$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under55c340.46$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.851,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under44c339.21$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9610943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over53c297.55$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.724949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under43c291.96$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under35c274.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.476046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over57c264.98$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0410750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over55c261.47$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.631,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over61c240.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4927745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under76c239.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.481,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over57c239.28$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3928949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under43c231$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under44c227.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1925049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under45c212.74$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0111453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over57c205.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.915543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under45c200.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0913352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Over55c199.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under51c199.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.646848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Over56c199.08$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4924850%124 W · 124 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c193.03$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.032,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c190.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c175.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.092,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over57c175.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9511858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c173.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.511,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under43c171$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4230055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over57c167.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4714445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over57c166.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9620040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under65c164.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c164$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under44c160.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8422351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over56c147$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.856737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c142.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under43c141.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4a…d477backed Over60c141.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1610560%63 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c137.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.641,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over53c135.01$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5614640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under44c134$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over57c131.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under43c129$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb0…3a13backed Over47c123.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over48c121.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.136861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over57c119.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Over58c119.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.388658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c119.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over55c115.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under44c115.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.946842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Under44c115.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9411050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under48c114.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0822143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under46c113.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under42c112.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Under46c112.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.956150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over57c111.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.329854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.520247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under45c108.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5715650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over23c105.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7913138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under46c104.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4336749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under59c103.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.613633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.