TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No53c13,762$7,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,302.5298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c12,011$6,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,634.8847850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes41c9,980$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.93647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes62c8,024$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.743080%24 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes41c6,119$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.882737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes45c3,126$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.7114060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c2,836$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.7211055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No32c2,572$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.41822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes54c2,504$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes61c1,756$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.9546644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No37c1,388$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.964452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No39c1,218$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.244553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes39c1,179$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.159336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes39c1,154$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes63c1,133$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0215140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6104341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed No4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+383.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5732…703bbacked Yes43c700.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+187.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No45c666.86$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.215246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c573.9$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.4343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No37c478.3$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.722365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No37c478.3$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.725154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No37c478.3$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.725257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No37c478.26$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.724553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No37c462.71$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.642445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No37c462.71$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.641952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No37c458.96$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.146352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes70c428.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes59c307$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.382462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes65c301.71$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+170%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes63c296.26$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.681283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c289.65$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3611057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes39c288.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No68c270$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.845244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No37c269.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No37c269.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes38c265.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7530055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes37c264$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.326147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes62c259.99$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed No32c253.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No20c246.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.964124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No60c224.21$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No55c218.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes62c210.03$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.813938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12211752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes41c185.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.371338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No60c185$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No44c184.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.622759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No60c179.64$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.783063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed No60c152$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No61c138$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.183745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c137.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.149714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No38c130.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No26c130$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.215048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes54c126.16$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.313941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.959446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No38c113.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.091070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes34c113$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.583330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes40c107.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.313452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked No52c106.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.981154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No33c105.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes40c105$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+57.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No29c103.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5650%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed No46c101.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.952055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes39c97.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.597631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c68…0888backed Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes72c84.35$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes55c78.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2613049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.175945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes50c72.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No59c69.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes72c61.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.311662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No41c59.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.015259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes64c54.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6710633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Yes60c52.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c2…7291backed Yes76c52.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9d…cb94backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3213…7caebacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked No24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.785066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.