Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41fd94c42e6fda57794e6676f4ba3963a6fd905e487041d33bf689739ec20067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 3,751$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.27 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 3,361$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.91 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 3,281$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.11 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 23c | 2,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,156$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 656.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 76c | 504$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 24c | 252$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 24c | 252$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 24c | 231.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 76c | 207.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 179.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Yes | 26c | 137.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 26c | 129.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 118.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 113$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 25c | 102.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 20c | 97.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 86.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Yes | 22c | 72.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 63.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +146%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 56.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 55.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 55.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 55.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 55.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 55.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 79c | 55.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 55.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 55.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 55.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 55.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 50.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 24.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 22.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 78c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.