Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb5d0ee5376c6663ac1e5cf30e0d1c0bf057ae8a5c27943ed4d35787b298d06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 74c | 1,441$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.15 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,349$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 64c | 855$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.06 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 38c | 808$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.76 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 67c | 746.26$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.31 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 67c | 608.64$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 605.55$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 554$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.21 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 37c | 541$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 288.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 252.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 241.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 171.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…2bb4backed No | 64c | 119.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 37c | 119.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 37c | 119.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 66c | 84.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed No | 64c | 80.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 36c | 79.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 36c | 79.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 36c | 79.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 67c | 67.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 37c | 64.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 66c | 63.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 77c | 51.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 36c | 48.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 45.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed No | 64c | 41.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 37c | 35.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 36c | 34.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 36c | 34.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 64c | 32.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 66c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 66c | 27.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 71c | 18.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…351cbacked No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 66c | 15.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.