TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof 3DMAX, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff80…9b4dbacked 3DMAX7c39,619$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.3132552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz68c34,690$23,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,179.0776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 3DMAX30c24,750$7,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,519.2630726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked 3DMAX21c20,450$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.1322927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz72c18,636$13,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,297.63,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed 3DMAX33c13,000$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2903852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed 3DMAX29c11,120$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.1920448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX32c8,940$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.8459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed 3DMAX21c7,024$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.111133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked TheMongolz78c5,059$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.312748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed 3DMAX32c3,628$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.9651252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed 3DMAX15c3,594$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.2357358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX7c3,374$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.153,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed 3DMAX32c3,035$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.4797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked TheMongolz69c2,944$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX32c2,938$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.0178639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed 3DMAX33c2,622$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.828032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz74c2,562$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.0287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz67c2,254$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.9725555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked TheMongolz67c2,231$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.2612148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed TheMongolz72c1,946$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.277755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz68c1,930$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.646749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked 3DMAX3c1,900$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5569624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed TheMongolz69c1,796$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.7513267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz76c1,513$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.066,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked 3DMAX16c1,505$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked 3DMAX33c1,349$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2915637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz70c1,331$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.311,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked 3DMAX2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed 3DMAX24c1,221$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1314847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 3DMAX9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10849646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed 3DMAX1c1,049$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4948437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed TheMongolz68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed 3DMAX33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33032042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed 3DMAX33c998.39$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.474136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz69c981.4$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2327658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed TheMongolz69c981.4$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2333553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked TheMongolz67c929.21$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.641,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed 3DMAX10c921.8$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1827831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked TheMongolz77c905.38$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.333560%21 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed 3DMAX34c825.03$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4524944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed 3DMAX24c787.56$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9129934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz69c780.85$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0665650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked TheMongolz67c731.49$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3931451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed 3DMAX33c730.87$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1917759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed TheMongolz78c716.67$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.172250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed TheMongolz68c710.18$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.799266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 3DMAX13c635.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9657322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX19c621.65$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6298052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed 3DMAX33c611.13$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.566426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz74c595.93$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.152,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed TheMongolz71c555.88$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7429052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f4f…9787backed 3DMAX11c538.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed TheMongolz78c481.86$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.233960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 3DMAX33c479.9$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3794645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked 3DMAX32c479.6$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4729839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed TheMongolz68c432.71$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4711166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed 3DMAX18c399.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX5c387.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz68c360.72$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4334156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX13c357.58$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.844,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a6…b1b6backed TheMongolz69c349.55$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.365451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked 3DMAX32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9213553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5614…b9fbbacked 3DMAX14c297.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.773435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d6…0c2abacked 3DMAX4c290$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611032.7%36 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked TheMongolz68c288.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341f…b48bbacked 3DMAX18c285.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.343243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed 3DMAX17c273.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5221528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…0539backed 3DMAX12c270.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.749137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked 3DMAX34c265.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1126438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd153…f849backed 3DMAX33c256.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.651612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed TheMongolz68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8017840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…5ab3backed 3DMAX32c242.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked 3DMAX21c238.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0131253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 3DMAX37c216$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed 3DMAX14c203.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.459631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked 3DMAX22c202.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-64.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed TheMongolz66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz69c196.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8553850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf0…ab54backed 3DMAX8c191.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.884332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed TheMongolz67c190.19$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7636749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7926…a4febacked TheMongolz76c184.66$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.323158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed TheMongolz69c179.51$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6518963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5496…7393backed TheMongolz70c165.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed TheMongolz69c157.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8768753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed TheMongolz67c157$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8156732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d8…3fd4backed 3DMAX25c151.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.393033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed TheMongolz66c147.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2629465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked TheMongolz67c145.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4816451.8%85 W · 79 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed 3DMAX13c144.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9714135.5%50 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed TheMongolz69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0921460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX14c139.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed TheMongolz67c138$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5419554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83fd…2aabbacked 3DMAX27c125.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.511232.1%36 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7865…a791backed 3DMAX14c123.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 3DMAX32c119.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.371,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed TheMongolz68c108.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6236555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TheMongolz76c107.32$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.295,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.