CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa942ab0f242c8cdf84af0acc91be2c6732bd4a3b691130ba10a830ce1b30279e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz | 42c | 6,921$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.64 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed 3DMAX | 32c | 5,102$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.68 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked 3DMAX | 64c | 4,575$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.52 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed 3DMAX | 61c | 3,293$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.5 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 3DMAX | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed 3DMAX | 62c | 1,528$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.13 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 1,474$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.19 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 1,465$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.88 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed TheMongolz | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked TheMongolz | 37c | 1,379$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.57 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked 3DMAX | 61c | 1,325$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.38 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.99 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked TheMongolz | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.43 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,235$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.55 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked 3DMAX | 61c | 978.59$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.94 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed 3DMAX | 62c | 977.44$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.01 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b53…7657backed 3DMAX | 61c | 820.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 35c | 777$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.05 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz | 37c | 750$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 38c | 645.08$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.95 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed TheMongolz | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed TheMongolz | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked TheMongolz | 68c | 477.42$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed TheMongolz | 39c | 400$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 390.18$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 336.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 321.36$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…6303backed TheMongolz | 39c | 318.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.38 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed TheMongolz | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 46c | 277.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed TheMongolz | 39c | 247.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…255ebacked TheMongolz | 39c | 229.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed TheMongolz | 47c | 204.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed TheMongolz | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed TheMongolz | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked 3DMAX | 32c | 171.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed 3DMAX | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 3DMAX | 60c | 130.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed TheMongolz | 39c | 129.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked TheMongolz | 68c | 124.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed TheMongolz | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 118.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed TheMongolz | 38c | 106.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed 3DMAX | 62c | 102.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed TheMongolz | 39c | 101.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed TheMongolz | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…f21bbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 88.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 86.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz | 55c | 83.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked TheMongolz | 39c | 78.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 73.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 67.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed 3DMAX | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed TheMongolz | 39c | 55.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed TheMongolz | 38c | 52.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…b4dabacked TheMongolz | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…3165backed TheMongolz | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed TheMongolz | 49c | 44.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed 3DMAX | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed TheMongolz | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed TheMongolz | 64c | 40.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed 3DMAX | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked TheMongolz | 47c | 39.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 34.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked 3DMAX | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…cebfbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 26.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked 3DMAX | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed 3DMAX | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed TheMongolz | 45c | 22.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked TheMongolz | 77c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.