CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47f901203eabec049cb986f4b34e8b559ff022f9072364db3bf6084592765ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 46c | 14,660$6,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,725.07 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Under | 52c | 11,060$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 54c | 3,628$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.84 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 55c | 1,907$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.23 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,179$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.02 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Over | 48c | 1,066$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.53 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 684.29$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.66 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 33c | 658.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Over | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 29c | 452.18$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Under | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 52c | 411.12$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 45c | 395.94$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Over | 48c | 222.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Under | 68c | 129.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 33c | 127.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 33c | 123.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Over | 46c | 108.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 48c | 96.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 66c | 96.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 53c | 72.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…0a35backed Over | 47c | 63.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 48c | 48.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Under | 67c | 44.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 45c | 42.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Over | 46c | 42.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37da…41d2backed Over | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Under | 54c | 38.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Under | 67c | 24.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 47c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Under | 55c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.