Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a0d4fa3358d36ef317c3a2cb6ae64b4ab9ddb23a4a643c985bb4a52ca11e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $424,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…4216backed No | 2c | 64,783$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…8385backed Yes | 56c | 24,920$14,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,876.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 52c | 20,785$10,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,876.12 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 43c | 11,679$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 12c | 10,141$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.96 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 61c | 9,481$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.9 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 45c | 9,200$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.34 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2a6ebacked No | 79c | 7,928$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 73c | 6,900$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a6…0534backed No | 0c | 6,403$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 0c | 5,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed No | 45c | 4,278$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…9e73backed No | 0c | 4,111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed No | 3c | 3,770$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed Yes | 79c | 3,466$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 22c | 3,310$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.18 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 48c | 3,214$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 32c | 3,152$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.47 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 35c | 3,041$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 36c | 3,028$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 32c | 2,586$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.32 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…9b90backed No | 33c | 2,551$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 72c | 2,500$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…10d0backed No | 32c | 2,422$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 35c | 2,415$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…7b6bbacked No | 7c | 2,203$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 1c | 2,176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 52c | 2,078$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 17c | 2,012$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.86 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 28c | 1,845$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…9b38backed No | 10c | 1,746$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 44c | 1,721$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…7e60backed No | 6c | 1,721$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,587$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.45 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked Yes | 79c | 1,552$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 67c | 1,546$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 1,495$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.59 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…6fd5backed No | 15c | 1,450$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab01…881abacked No | 74c | 1,402$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…194abacked Yes | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 17c | 1,392$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Yes | 51c | 1,355$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 42c | 1,328$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,309$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…08e1backed No | 5c | 1,289$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…4879backed No | 67c | 1,280$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…47b5backed No | 25c | 1,143$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…1075backed No | 18c | 1,143$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 68c | 1,139$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…c059backed No | 39c | 1,081$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed No | 27c | 1,080$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 27c | 1,019$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c6…2e24backed No | 11c | 930.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 78c | 920$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed Yes | 27c | 844.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.83 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 52c | 785.16$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed No | 3c | 771.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 27c | 740$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed Yes | 25c | 722.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.44 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…0deabacked Yes | 27c | 718.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 23c | 709.3$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.66 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…b74fbacked No | 60c | 700$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 72c | 699.99$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 699.97$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.98 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…f6b3backed Yes | 31c | 674.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf190…5aadbacked No | 10c | 667.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes | 74c | 663.08$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c6…b171backed No | 3c | 662.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 24c | 650$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 50c | 650$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…9be5backed No | 7c | 646.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 34c | 627.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…a850backed Yes | 45c | 581.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 77c | 569.46$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…27f7backed No | 18c | 546.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…ed04backed No | 56c | 540$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 19c | 538.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 34c | 529.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…5ad4backed Yes | 32c | 512.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fe…b5d1backed Yes | 34c | 512.57$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 17c | 510.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 71c | 510$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 79c | 500$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 50c | 489.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 61c | 481.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…88cdbacked No | 53c | 480.9$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 6c | 475.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…bd53backed Yes | 32c | 468.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked No | 74c | 453.75$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 448.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.05 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 22c | 440$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…8aa6backed Yes | 66c | 423.44$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 421.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 10c | 420.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked No | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 415.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?this page
- Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.