Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: James Duckworth vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70e3207fb8ea3b22947efe37fd1eb0a3130dda217fbbdb2e17f52c5f49203965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michelsenof Duckworth, Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Duckworth | 46c | 10,000$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.17 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…1d40backed Duckworth | 50c | 9,957$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Michelsen | 54c | 6,527$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.24 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Duckworth | 0c | 5,548$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Duckworth | 70c | 5,000$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michelsen | 45c | 2,782$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Michelsen | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.77 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duckworth | 30c | 1,918$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duckworth | 54c | 1,639$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Michelsen | 54c | 1,463$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.02 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duckworth | 2c | 1,401$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…9b85backed Michelsen | 56c | 1,259$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Michelsen | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Duckworth | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Duckworth | 78c | 1,111$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +527.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Michelsen | 26c | 1,079$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.42 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Duckworth | 24c | 1,058$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Michelsen | 52c | 1,003$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.97 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Duckworth | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…0fb5backed Michelsen | 43c | 936.08$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duckworth | 59c | 874.4$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Michelsen | 61c | 814.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.41 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Duckworth | 51c | 696.93$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.57 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…575dbacked Michelsen | 54c | 643.64$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Michelsen | 57c | 498.47$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Michelsen | 54c | 449.96$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 53cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Duckworth | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Michelsen | 58c | 383.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…6e5cbacked Duckworth | 79c | 372.58$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Duckworth | 46c | 359.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Duckworth | 49c | 319.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Michelsen | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Michelsen | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Michelsen | 52c | 299.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Duckworth | 43c | 299.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Duckworth | 51c | 274.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Duckworth | 30c | 267.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Duckworth | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Michelsen | 41c | 241.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Michelsen | 54c | 234$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…c345backed Duckworth | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…3b65backed Michelsen | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Michelsen | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Duckworth | 45c | 189.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Michelsen | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Michelsen | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…d5dabacked Michelsen | 58c | 150.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duckworth | 44c | 147.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Michelsen | 48c | 140.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Michelsen | 44c | 126.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duckworth | 47c | 119$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Duckworth | 42c | 115.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Michelsen | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Michelsen | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Michelsen | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Michelsen | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Duckworth | 79c | 94.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Michelsen | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Michelsen | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michelsen | 53c | 91.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Duckworth | 12c | 85.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Duckworth | 49c | 82.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…5d84backed Michelsen | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Michelsen | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Duckworth | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Michelsen | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Duckworth | 44c | 61.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…e428backed Duckworth | 39c | 52.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…32b3backed Michelsen | 76c | 52.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Michelsen | 26c | 51.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Michelsen | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Michelsen | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…887abacked Michelsen | 74c | 48.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Michelsen | 50c | 47.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Duckworth | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Duckworth | 45c | 40.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Michelsen | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Michelsen | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Michelsen | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Michelsen | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…806abacked Michelsen | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Michelsen | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Duckworth | 79c | 32.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Duckworth | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Duckworth | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Duckworth | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Michelsen | 51c | 26.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Duckworth | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Michelsen | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Michelsen | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Duckworth | 77c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: James Duckworth vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Duckworth vs MichelsenDuckworth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.