TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7cb…e02f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST3262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$40
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$210
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+36.1%+$53
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+50.4%+$67
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoebacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
ASB Classic: Katie Boulter vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Brisbane International: Alexei Popyrin vs Quentin Halysbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Brisbane International: James Duckworth vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Yi Zhoubacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$87.99
Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Machacbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$29.75
Brisbane International: Olivia Gadecki vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$62
ASB Classic, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Brisbane International, Qualification: Astra Sharma vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$71
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,539Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+36.2%+$557.33
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+40%+$57.28
League of Legends: DRX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+275%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston College vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Oregon Statebacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Yale Bulldogs vs. Brown Bearsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alanyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$34.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal vs. Olympiakos Piraeus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.