College Football · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88c2adecb25d45442151b5094c01f6e87102537e6a2a1c8cbf528f16a1fc5520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexicoof Nevada Wolf Pack, New Mexico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 12,140$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.6 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 8,386$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.93 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 6,368$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.27 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 14c | 5,559$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 18c | 4,046$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.36 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 8c | 3,888$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.11 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 18c | 3,044$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.85 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 18c | 2,989$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.31 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked New Mexico | 78c | 2,630$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.3 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 2,571$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.66 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 1,851$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.17 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 1,415$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 1,012$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.62 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked New Mexico | 75c | 650.26$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 624.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked New Mexico | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 483.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked New Mexico | 78c | 450$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 13c | 399.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…6556backed New Mexico | 79c | 355.13$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 10c | 223.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 28c | 173.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…c094backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5b…0cfcbacked New Mexico | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…8b1fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 15c | 108.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked New Mexico | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +275%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 28c | 99.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico | 76c | 98.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New Mexico | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…7197backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…db73backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 77.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 56.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…82c8backed New Mexico | 78c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…d3edbacked New Mexico | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexicothis page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico (-13.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.