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MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astrosof Astros, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$698,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$735,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Astros58c337,192$195,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,087.8516643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies42c173,074$72,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,009.571,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies6c72,828$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,535.651,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed Rockies42c50,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,0001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies42c42,772$17,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,824.9286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies25c33,425$8,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,198.472,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rockies43c30,000$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,90038047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockies42c30,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,499.9941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies23c29,473$6,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,859.221,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies40c20,096$7,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,994.461,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockies40c19,859$7,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,943.4814747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros60c13,375$8,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,360.1520150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Astros60c13,200$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2803625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Astros58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2002065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Astros58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9954451.1%278 W · 266 L+23.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies28c9,306$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.159,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies33c7,479$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.7397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7629…6141backed Astros58c6,897$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ca…f4c7backed Astros52c4,681$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Astros55c4,512$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.1113151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Rockies45c4,400$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98014546.2%67 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies32c4,032$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies42c3,756$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.562,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros58c3,002$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.2666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Astros59c2,548$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.2213450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies29c2,400$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd876…767ebacked Rockies15c2,225$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.641070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa21…3332backed Astros47c2,225$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.051050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Astros58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Astros60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…bd1ebacked Astros74c1,971$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.085666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies42c1,957$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.831,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies42c1,900$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7981,92453.4%1,028 W · 896 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8468…10c2backed Astros71c1,796$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.562941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockies25c1,701$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Astros60c1,700$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6755042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Astros60c1,688$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.8419742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies31c1,594$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.861,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Astros59c1,417$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8338249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rockies42c1,388$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.0335954.6%196 W · 163 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…029ebacked Astros79c1,365$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.622250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…bd09backed Astros62c1,100$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa28e…058cbacked Rockies38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4181118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Astros59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.953560%21 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Astros59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.150852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Rockies42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Astros58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Astros50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockies35c949.39$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0216135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies14c926.02$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros60c917$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba9e…97c0backed Astros59c879.66$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.661662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeefb…d354backed Rockies43c873.74$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Rockies6c855$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7221044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Astros59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.461172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Astros58c807$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7517354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c7e…de56backed Astros61c770.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.972157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Astros80c732.38$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.485666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies5c712.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.98762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Astros59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9762846.2%290 W · 338 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Rockies35c675.63$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-80.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Astros56c665.79$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.4326847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Astros58c638.16$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.0315151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Astros59c610.17$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.171471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Astros59c590$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.71,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies28c573.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.596,30948.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Astros73c563$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.972,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Astros60c503.63$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.455,23556.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L+130.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies12c493.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2622312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Rockies41c489.9$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.129345.2%42 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Astros62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8738455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Rockies14c480.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6832932.2%106 W · 223 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Astros58c480$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.62650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ef…b4d9backed Astros69c443.84$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a3…5532backed Astros68c437.74$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Astros78c432.26$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7631248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Astros59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.735648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf54…c7e6backed Rockies42c404.76$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Astros63c394.73$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0528053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies29c382.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11238743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Rockies20c365.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757025.7%18 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Astros57c356.57$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Rockies49c355.39$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6127458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Rockies32c353.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.16746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Astros58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Astros73c344.8$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1624953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies11c308$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Astros59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1233,31446.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12342452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Astros60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…ec44backed Rockies39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies38c299.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies20c279.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.784,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Astros79c262.31$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0916947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b4…0ad0backed Rockies39c256$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Astros62c254.96$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9424751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros61c253$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.711,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.