College Football · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Oregon State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb2df697a112bd178ce19032f382f43aaa827ca38444c3b5d002af71bce9ab05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Bearkatsof Sam Houston Bearkats, Oregon State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 9c | 49,273$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,038.72 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 13,917$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,105.41 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 11c | 13,880$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,363.75 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 17c | 13,814$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,418.66 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 8,868$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,096.36 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 6,890$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,337.8 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Oregon State | 54c | 5,350$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 28c | 3,482$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.1 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 26c | 2,751$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.22 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 25c | 2,688$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.38 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Oregon State | 35c | 2,313$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.28 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Oregon State | 7c | 2,013$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…eae6backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 9c | 2,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +582.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Oregon State | 57c | 1,761$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 1,336$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.12 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 1,234$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.03 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 7c | 1,095$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.38 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 3c | 1,076$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.83 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 999.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.98 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 909.8$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.77 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 48c | 893.64$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 60c | 839.19$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 828.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.82 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 31c | 792.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.94 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.78 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oregon State | 51c | 678$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.74 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon State | 72c | 617.37$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.21 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oregon State | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…4454backed Oregon State | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 364.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.09 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 22c | 350$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…e5a4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 309.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d5…8763backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 296.72$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…4a7fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 18c | 285.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Oregon State | 5c | 270.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 253.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +420.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 9c | 250$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 210.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 199.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.98 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…fb75backed Oregon State | 79c | 160$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 143$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Oregon State | 60c | 133.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Oregon State | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +275%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Oregon State | 45c | 99.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 90$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…e68cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 75.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +250.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…833dbacked Oregon State | 77c | 65.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 27c | 62.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…c151backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…1cf2backed Oregon State | 76c | 51.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…8869backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 62c | 43.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Oregon State | 30c | 41.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Oregon State | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…68f3backed Oregon State | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Oregon Statethis page
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Oregon State: O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Oregon State (-20.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.