AI · resolved market
OpenAI browser by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6383352d679a187dbc5964f7d3ada79d5d4e6765563404021fd08b2081acf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8740…490dbacked Yes | 45c | 28,858$12,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,906.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…8064backed Yes | 29c | 16,964$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 65c | 14,488$9,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.78 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…763abacked Yes | 22c | 10,214$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 73c | 8,191$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 60c | 6,097$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 19c | 5,365$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.22 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…ff2dbacked Yes | 31c | 4,078$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 77c | 4,050$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.04 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 26c | 3,492$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.08 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 3,184$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.22 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 7c | 2,948$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,725$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…b3f8backed Yes | 31c | 2,704$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 15c | 2,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe28…e921backed No | 80c | 2,212$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f87…77c6backed Yes | 31c | 2,111$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 69c | 1,726$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.41 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 10c | 1,671$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…f158backed Yes | 15c | 1,509$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,489$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 53c | 1,429$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.91 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…05d7backed No | 74c | 1,360$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…a862backed No | 76c | 1,324$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…c695backed No | 77c | 1,303$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 69c | 1,276$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.57 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…1404backed Yes | 16c | 1,263$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,201$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 66c | 1,200$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.71 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 23c | 1,116$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…df72backed Yes | 22c | 1,100$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,088$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked No | 76c | 1,081$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked No | 73c | 1,073$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.18 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 59c | 994.85$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.43 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 46c | 787.76$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 71c | 786.51$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.1 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 5c | 759.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 28c | 749.33$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 76c | 740.53$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…bc77backed No | 72c | 699.99$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 78c | 679.39$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed No | 67c | 628.21$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddf…0177backed No | 75c | 586.52$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…d251backed Yes | 20c | 579.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…c24fbacked No | 75c | 489.8$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed No | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 51c | 450$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 77c | 428.6$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed Yes | 9c | 419.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed No | 75c | 399.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…73d2backed No | 74c | 381.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb6…f162backed No | 71c | 376.29$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…7808backed Yes | 9c | 337.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…a3afbacked No | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…c2b2backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 75c | 299.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 78c | 293.9$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 293$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc47…da42backed Yes | 8c | 286.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Yes | 32c | 266.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 76c | 252.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…5d12backed Yes | 20c | 248.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 20c | 240$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed No | 68c | 239.42$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…d0a7backed No | 77c | 233.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dd…c5b7backed Yes | 25c | 230.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 76c | 224.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 24c | 220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…5defbacked No | 65c | 214.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed No | 79c | 214.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…fa1fbacked No | 79c | 206.06$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…1e34backed No | 75c | 200.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa7…01bdbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…3778backed Yes | 25c | 196.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 29c | 195.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…8f07backed Yes | 30c | 189.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked No | 68c | 180.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 16c | 174.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…9681backed Yes | 18c | 171.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…b034backed Yes | 20c | 161.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked No | 76c | 161.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…66bbbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…f872backed Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…9ab3backed Yes | 16c | 152.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…1010backed No | 66c | 152.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53dc…98a1backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…cc4fbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.