Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Maja Chwalinska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02c7c2f2d06dc818525e32066a64c7c9981d24f1c222c1f64716726e7af690eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knutsonof Knutson, Chwalinska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chwalinska | 39c | 2,852$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.21 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knutson | 72c | 1,763$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Knutson | 34c | 1,314$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.31 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Chwalinska | 20c | 1,052$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knutson | 36c | 647.85$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Knutson | 72c | 425.97$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Knutson | 74c | 370.21$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Chwalinska | 51c | 236.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Chwalinska | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Knutson | 33c | 156.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knutson | 35c | 153.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Knutson | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Chwalinska | 63c | 76.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Chwalinska | 29c | 44.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…c072backed Chwalinska | 31c | 37.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Chwalinska | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Chwalinska | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Chwalinska | 72c | 28.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Chwalinska | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Maja Chwalinskathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Knutson vs ChwalinskaKnutson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.