TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginia Tech Hokiesof California Golden Bears, Virginia Tech Hokies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dec…bf74backed California Golden Bears0c13,363$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked California Golden Bears31c3,067$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9504544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Virginia Tech Hokies69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed California Golden Bears43c2,102$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.265,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked California Golden Bears31c2,094$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.141,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed California Golden Bears45c1,566$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies56c1,503$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.155,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked California Golden Bears31c1,458$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.6432751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed California Golden Bears37c1,353$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.552,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies70c1,250$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3755152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Virginia Tech Hokies60c1,017$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked California Golden Bears30c1,011$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.31,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Virginia Tech Hokies66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed California Golden Bears31c990.56$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.522,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies64c934.66$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.734,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Virginia Tech Hokies69c857.07$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3415861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Virginia Tech Hokies70c764$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Virginia Tech Hokies66c612.75$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Virginia Tech Hokies56c610.86$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1445644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed California Golden Bears35c600$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Virginia Tech Hokies47c581.39$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.753836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Virginia Tech Hokies52c578.43$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.129235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies61c551.54$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.611,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Tech Hokies62c527.6$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked California Golden Bears32c505.59$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.245133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia Tech Hokies69c451$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.891,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears29c372.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Virginia Tech Hokies61c328.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed California Golden Bears75c302.5$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5919057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed California Golden Bears26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Virginia Tech Hokies74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.934649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California Golden Bears32c244$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.971,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed California Golden Bears43c232.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8812733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virginia Tech Hokies44c228.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5512642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies55c221.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.951,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed California Golden Bears29c219.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91dc…2813backed California Golden Bears46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f49…1befbacked California Golden Bears21c199$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.15714%8 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Virginia Tech Hokies48c191.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.672948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Virginia Tech Hokies48c191$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.326457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Virginia Tech Hokies56c183.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked California Golden Bears29c179$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.91850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked California Golden Bears57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Virginia Tech Hokies69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3d9…447cbacked California Golden Bears63c139.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Virginia Tech Hokies54c116.56$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.591,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Virginia Tech Hokies66c112$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201593.3%14 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick78cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b7…304dbacked California Golden Bears21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked California Golden Bears30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked California Golden Bears31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked California Golden Bears54c79.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaced…e23abacked Virginia Tech Hokies62c79.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcaf…9343backed California Golden Bears48c78.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7240%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies65c78.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.121,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies67c76.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9214062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed California Golden Bears35c75.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.333,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Golden Bears16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.371,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies67c69.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0232343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed California Golden Bears29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0114339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked California Golden Bears31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e4…e026backed California Golden Bears58c59.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.051154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked California Golden Bears44c53.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Virginia Tech Hokies67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…e02fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed California Golden Bears47c49.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0512034.2%41 W · 79 L-13.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Virginia Tech Hokies69c43.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California Golden Bears29c39.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.392,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Virginia Tech Hokies75c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.759871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed California Golden Bears50c38.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3123544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e96…e9f8backed Virginia Tech Hokies48c36.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.871546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+57.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Virginia Tech Hokies53c35.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.644517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked California Golden Bears58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed California Golden Bears30c34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed California Golden Bears31c33.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.472,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6257…99f6backed California Golden Bears52c30.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Virginia Tech Hokies72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7821746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…81f2backed Virginia Tech Hokies69c26.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aab…685dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies66c24.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.269254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Virginia Tech Hokies58c20.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.67557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.