Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f959b8e6bdfebf428a3b36db894cc313eedae3123eaebf97382e9ceef536b5

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Medvedevof Medvedev, Tiafoe
Resolved: Jan 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,160 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tiafoe	20c	5,107$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.41	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Tiafoe	26c	5,076$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.66	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Tiafoe	0c	3,950$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tiafoe	7c	2,058$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.63	6,720	36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L	-95.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Tiafoe	9c	2,023$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.99	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Tiafoe	27c	1,907$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	586	39.6%232 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tiafoe	4c	1,864$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.71	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Tiafoe	26c	1,800$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Medvedev	74c	1,797$1,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.22	138	52.9%73 W · 65 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Medvedev	78c	1,250$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.05	229	65.9%151 W · 78 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Medvedev	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	237	31.6%75 W · 162 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Medvedev	73c	964.99$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.55	872	51.1%446 W · 426 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tiafoe	15c	831.42$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.98	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Medvedev	74c	781.62$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Tiafoe	22c	745$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.9	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Tiafoe	28c	714.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.02	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e90…c604backed Medvedev	73c	700$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tiafoe	15c	630.22$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Medvedev	74c	578.38$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.38	1,186	62.8%745 W · 441 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Medvedev	74c	539.68$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.68	419	55.8%234 W · 185 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Tiafoe	28c	534.21$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6de0…af02backed Tiafoe	28c	515.22$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.63	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Medvedev	72c	501.5$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.42	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…9cbcbacked Tiafoe	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Tiafoe	27c	430$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.1	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-9.7wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Medvedev	74c	405.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.41	591	65.3%386 W · 205 L	-16.9wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99c…6ec3backed Tiafoe	27c	399.99$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Medvedev	74c	389$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.42	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Tiafoe	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tiafoe	18c	356.71$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.93	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Medvedev	75c	315.83$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.9	704	65.2%459 W · 245 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Medvedev	73c	300$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	119	41.2%49 W · 70 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Tiafoe	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	102	8.8%9 W · 93 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd10…abcbbacked Medvedev	73c	283.88$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Medvedev	74c	270.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	656	51.8%340 W · 316 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Medvedev	74c	270.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.25	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Tiafoe	27c	250$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	228	40.4%92 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Tiafoe	25c	249.59$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.97	441	25.4%112 W · 329 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Tiafoe	26c	246.56$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.47	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Tiafoe	15c	238.68$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.84	222	36.9%82 W · 140 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Tiafoe	27c	214$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.78	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tiafoe	25c	209.33$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.33	279	44.1%123 W · 156 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Medvedev	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	178	67.4%120 W · 58 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…e02fbacked Medvedev	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Medvedev	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d3…996abacked Tiafoe	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Tiafoe	11c	185.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-12.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Medvedev	74c	180.97$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.05	96	69.8%67 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Tiafoe	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc172…47cbbacked Tiafoe	13c	176.92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4499…d102backed Medvedev	74c	173$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.98	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8061…9eb5backed Tiafoe	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c5…8abdbacked Tiafoe	28c	172.39$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tiafoe	22c	172.12$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Tiafoe	14c	157.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	281	39.1%110 W · 171 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Tiafoe	26c	157$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.82	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e5…18f4backed Medvedev	74c	150$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tiafoe	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Tiafoe	26c	147.67$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.13	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Medvedev	74c	137.34$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.71	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Tiafoe	25c	136.61$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	372	38.2%142 W · 230 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12dc…5c52backed Medvedev	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Tiafoe	27c	102$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.54	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Tiafoe	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	257	43.6%112 W · 145 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…8592backed Tiafoe	26c	99.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	+188.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Tiafoe	14c	99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Medvedev	72c	97.84$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.68	270	58.1%157 W · 113 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a8…4c36backed Medvedev	74c	93.24$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.24	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4838…6d18backed Medvedev	74c	89.91$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.38	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tiafoe	25c	80.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Medvedev	74c	77.25$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.08	284	62.3%177 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Medvedev	73c	72.07$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	6,439	54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L	+285.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b28…02dbbacked Medvedev	74c	68.74$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.87	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	77cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Medvedev	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Medvedev	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	161	58.4%94 W · 67 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f59…c79bbacked Medvedev	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Medvedev	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	106	54.7%58 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Medvedev	75c	65.33$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	749	61.8%463 W · 286 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Medvedev	73c	52.01$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Tiafoe	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked Medvedev	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	76cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda5…bb92backed Medvedev	74c	47.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	64cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Medvedev	74c	45.95$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	186	63.4%118 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Medvedev	75c	44.56$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Tiafoe	26c	42.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Tiafoe	25c	41.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Medvedev	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…f2b3backed Medvedev	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	-4.4wins	-0.15per pick	71cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x182f…87d2backed Medvedev	74c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	53	69.8%37 W · 16 L	+6.3wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Medvedev	73c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	107	55.1%59 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…4ac3backed Medvedev	77c	37.95$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.73	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Medvedev	73c	34.61$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.21	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef5e…4c1dbacked Medvedev	74c	33.95$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.83	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Medvedev	75c	33.33$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.33	398	50%199 W · 199 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Medvedev	74c	30.01$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Medvedev	72c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed7…50f6backed Medvedev	73c	28.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Medvedev	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	-14.6wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Medvedev	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Medvedev	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoethis page
Medvedev vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Medvedev vs. Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs TiafoeMedvedev won
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)Medvedev won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event