Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Yale Bulldogs vs. Brown Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4501c03c36d8c62d98fe422bbd94daecf6ebd4ea6f32d3f479605656fd45d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yale Bulldogsof Yale Bulldogs, Brown Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 73c | 1,652$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Brown Bears | 18c | 1,276$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brown Bears | 38c | 1,093$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.03 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Brown Bears | 20c | 1,000$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Brown Bears | 31c | 949.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.06 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Brown Bears | 16c | 811.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Brown Bears | 2c | 720.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Brown Bears | 4c | 665.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brown Bears | 32c | 638.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Brown Bears | 20c | 570.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Brown Bears | 15c | 563.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Brown Bears | 19c | 516.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yale Bulldogs | 75c | 501.49$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Yale Bulldogs | 64c | 453.52$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.29 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Yale Bulldogs | 69c | 265.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Brown Bears | 37c | 197.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Brown Bears | 20c | 169.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Brown Bears | 19c | 160.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yale Bulldogs | 60c | 148.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…8182backed Brown Bears | 9c | 124.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brown Bears | 26c | 121.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 120.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Brown Bears | 14c | 110.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…517bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…85b4backed Brown Bears | 12c | 87.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Brown Bears | 23c | 85.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yale Bulldogs | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Brown Bears | 20c | 77.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 70c | 71.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Brown Bears | 20c | 65.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…7d02backed Brown Bears | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 30.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…5f3bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yale Bulldogs | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 73c | 13.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Brown Bearsthis page
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-8.5)Yale Bulldogs won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Brown Bears: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.